Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Narva U21 vs Paide Linnameeskond U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Narva Kalev-Fama staadion, Narva
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Baljabkin N.
27'
Rak C.
35' Event
Corr P.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2025 game between Narva U21 and Paide Linnameeskond U21 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paide Linnameeskond U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Narva U21
15%
Draws
36%
Paide Linnameeskond U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Narva U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Narva U21 a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Paide Linnameeskond U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva U21 Paide Linnameeskond U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.48 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Esiliiga B
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Narva U21
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
3:0
May 5, 2025 Esiliiga B
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Narva U21
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narva U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Baljabkin N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Paide Linnameeskond U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Corr P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reinkort S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva U21 67 / 100
Paide Linnameeskond U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva U21 Paide Linnameeskond U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Narva U21 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Paide Linnameeskond U21 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Narva U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Narva U21 VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva U21

(Home)
19 Aug
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Narva U21
15 Aug
Narva U21
1 : 0
Johvi Phoenix
09 Aug
Legion
1 : 3
Narva U21
01 Aug
Narva U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
19 Jul
Narva U21
4 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
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Paide Linnameeskond U21

(Away)
21 Feb
Paide Linnameeskond U21
0 : 1
Valmiera
22 Nov
Paide Linnameeskond U21
3 : 2
Tulevik
15 Nov
Tulevik
5 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond U21
09 Nov
Paide Linnameeskond U21
2 : 0
Johvi Phoenix
01 Nov
Laanemaa Haapsalu
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 28 5 3 116:39 89
2 Nomme Utd U21 36 23 3 10 93:53 72
3 Johvi Phoenix 36 21 5 10 95:61 68
4 Narva U21 36 21 3 12 87:53 66
5 Tartu Kalev 36 19 4 13 81:53 61
6 Tabasalu 36 13 8 15 60:67 47
7 Legion 36 13 5 18 66:94 44
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 8 17 65:71 41
9 Kuressaare U21 36 6 1 29 40:105 19
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 3 2 31 33:140 11
Promotion - Esiliiga (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2025 (Relegation)