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Narva U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Sun, Jul 19, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Narva U21 host Parnu JK Vaprus U21 in the Esiliiga B. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Narva U21 have averaged 2.13 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Parnu JK Vaprus U21's 2.75 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Narva U21 slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 2.38) point toward Narva U21. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Narva U21
40%
Draws
29%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Narva U21 have won more games recently than Parnu JK Vaprus U21.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva U21 Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.13 2.75
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Narva U21
4:0
Mar 22, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva U21 30 / 100
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva U21 Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Narva U21's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 let in goals in 95% of their last 22 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Narva U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Narva U21 VS Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2.13 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2119122554:3738
2Tulevik19111755:3934
3Johvi Phoenix19111749:4734
4Narva U2118102644:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus U2119102756:4232
6Levadia U1919102748:3432
7Tabasalu19901033:5027
8Tartu Kalev19811049:4225
9Tallinna Kalev U2119421338:4614
10Legion18211516:777