Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Narva U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Narva U21 Logo

Narva U21

4 - 1
FT
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Logo

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Jaakson S. A.
43' Event
Agaptsev S.
52' Event
Geveller D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Narva U21 in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Narva U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Narva U21
15%
Draws
32%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Narva U21 have won more games recently than Parnu JK Vaprus U21.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Parnu JK Vaprus U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Narva U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva U21 Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.38 3.17
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
4:1
May 17, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Narva U21
4:0
Mar 22, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narva U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Agaptsev S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Geveller D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaakson S. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva U21 10 / 100
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva U21 Parnu JK Vaprus U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Narva U21 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Solid form: Narva U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Narva U21 VS Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1.75 Goals Scored 3.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva U21

(Home)
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
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Parnu JK Vaprus U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
30 Aug
Legion
1 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 29 19 3 7 69:35 60
2 Levadia U19 30 18 2 10 75:52 56
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tartu Kalev 29 15 2 12 71:52 47
6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
7 Tulevik 29 13 5 11 74:60 44
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 30 7 5 18 60:77 26
10 Legion 29 3 3 23 25:111 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)