Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Narva U21 vs Tammeka Tartu U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Imeh J.
23' Event
Baljabkin N.
45' Event
Baljabkin N.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Narva U21 and Tammeka Tartu U21 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Narva U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Narva U21
30%
Draws
23%
Tammeka Tartu U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Narva U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Narva U21's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tammeka Tartu U21 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Tammeka Tartu U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva U21 Tammeka Tartu U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 15
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.69 2.68
Goals Conceded 1.31 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Narva U21
2:1
May 24, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Narva U21
2:1
Apr 23, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tammeka Tartu U21
4:1
Nov 4, 2024 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tammeka Tartu U21
0:2
Sep 1, 2024 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Narva U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narva U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Baljabkin N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Imeh J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Tammeka Tartu U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sirk A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva U21 66 / 100
Tammeka Tartu U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva U21 Tammeka Tartu U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Narva U21 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Tammeka Tartu U21 conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Narva U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Narva U21 VS Tammeka Tartu U21
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva U21

(Home)
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
23 Aug
Tulevik
3 : 3
Narva U21
19 Aug
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Narva U21
15 Aug
Narva U21
1 : 0
Johvi Phoenix
09 Aug
Legion
1 : 3
Narva U21
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Tammeka Tartu U21

(Away)
23 Aug
Tammeka Tartu U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
20 Aug
Tartu Kalev
2 : 1
Tammeka Tartu U21
15 Aug
Legion
0 : 3
Tammeka Tartu U21
10 Aug
Tammeka Tartu U21
2 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
01 Aug
Tulevik
0 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 25 15 3 7 64:34 48
2 Levadia U19 25 15 2 8 60:42 47
3 Tammeka Tartu U21 25 14 4 7 67:48 46
4 Johvi Phoenix 26 14 3 9 59:55 45
5 Tartu Kalev 26 13 2 11 65:50 41
6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 26 12 4 10 74:55 40
7 Tulevik 26 11 5 10 64:54 38
8 Tabasalu 26 9 2 15 37:71 29
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 26 6 5 15 52:63 23
10 Legion 25 3 2 20 23:93 11
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)