Sport Picks
Narva vs Arukula Vigri Prediction & H2H Stats
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2024/2025 Narva Kreenholmi staadion, Narva 
AI Match Summary
Narva in this Estonian Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 7-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arukula Vigri
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Narva lately — more wins on the board than Arukula Vigri.
- 32% — that's where the model lands on Narva taking it.
- Narva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Narva, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Narva Clean Sheet 20%
Arukula Vigri Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Narva | Arukula Vigri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 8 |
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 18 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 5.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 13, 2024 Estonian Cup
Narva vs Arukula Vigri
7:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Narva 85 / 100
Arukula Vigri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Narva Arukula Vigri
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Narva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arukula Vigri has conceded goals in 100% of their last 8 outings.
These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.
Arukula Vigri's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Narva scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Narva VS Arukula Vigri
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Narva
(Home) 20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1 Levadia
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0 Narva
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2 Flora
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1 Narva
30 Aug
Narva
0 : 2 Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1 Levadia
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2 Flora
30 Aug
Narva
0 : 2 Tammeka Tartu
26 Aug
Narva
2 : 0 Kalju
16 Aug
Narva
1 : 1 Paide Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 4
Arukula Vigri
(Away) 22 Jul
Arukula Vigri
0 : 1 Raasiku Joker
30 Jul
Arukula Vigri
0 : 4 Kristiine
13 Aug
Narva
7 : 0 Arukula Vigri
18 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
9 : 1 Arukula Vigri
06 Sept
JK Poseidon
2 : 3 Arukula Vigri
Page 1 of 2
13 Aug
Narva
7 : 0 Arukula Vigri
18 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
9 : 1 Arukula Vigri
06 Sept
JK Poseidon
2 : 3 Arukula Vigri
08 Jul
Parnu
9 : 0 Arukula Vigri
25 Jul
Tabasalu
11 : 1 Arukula Vigri
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kubik -
TBD -
TBD -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
FC Hell Hunt -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev III 0
Tabasalu 6
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
Tallinna GameSport -
TBD -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
Tallinna Kalev -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
EstHam United -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter Tartu -
Kristiine -
TBD -
Legion 3
Raplamaa 1
Johvi Phoenix -
TBD -
TBD -
Kohvile -
Maksatransport -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu -
Tamper 4
JK Poseidon 1
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 4
Saue JK Laagri 0
Kalju -
TBD -
TBD -
Eston Villa -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
Viimsi JK 0
Kuressaare 1
Kose 1
Tartu Kalev 6
TBD -
Pelgu City -
Loo JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Helm -
Tallinna Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
Elva -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik 2
Zealot Sporting 1
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Kuusalu Kalev -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu Helios -
Saae Latte -
TBD -
TBD -
Hiiumaa -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Sillamae Silmet -
TransferWise -
TBD -
Kose II 0
Harju JK Laagri 26
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond 4
Soccernet 0
Narva -
TBD -
TBD -
Arukula Vigri -
FC Lootos Polva -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Starmedia -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Tallinna Smsraha -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Ararat -
Vastseliina Tannem 5
Vana Hea Puur 0
TBD -
Tabasalu Ulasabat -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
1/32-finals
Kubik 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
FC Hell Hunt 1
Tabasalu 3
Saku Sporting 1
FC Tallinn 2
Tallinna GameSport 0
Tammeka Tartu 24
Tallinna Kalev -
TBD -
EstHam United 0
Inter Tartu 4
Kristiine 0
Legion 5
Johvi Phoenix 3
Kohvile 1
Maksatransport 3
Parnu 1
Tamper 3
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
Tartu JK Welco 2
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Kalju 11
Eston Villa 1
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Maardu Aliens 0
Kuressaare 12
Tartu Kalev 7
Pelgu City 0
Loo JK 2
Helm 4
Tallinna Wolves 0
Elva 8
Levadia -
TBD -
Tulevik 3
Jarva-Jaani 0
Kuusalu Kalev 0
Tartu Helios 4
Saae Latte 2
Hiiumaa 6
Flora U19 0
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Tallinna FC Zapoos 4
Sillamae Silmet 3
TransferWise 0
Harju JK Laagri 15
Nomme Utd 9
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond 0
Narva 7
Arukula Vigri 0
FC Lootos Polva 0
Tallinna Starmedia 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 11
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tallinna Smsraha 1
FC Ararat 3
Vastseliina Tannem 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 5
Laanemaa Haapsalu 5
Rumori Calcio 1
1/16-finals
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
Tabasalu 2
FC Tallinn 2
Tammeka Tartu 1
Tallinna Kalev 14
Inter Tartu 0
Legion 4
Johvi Phoenix 3
Maksatransport 0
Tamper 3
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Kalju 7
Flora 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Kuressaare 7
Tartu Kalev 0
Helm 1
Elva 5
Levadia 8
Tulevik 1
Tartu Helios 1
Hiiumaa 3
Tallinna Kalev U21 2
Tallinna FC Zapoos 5
Harju JK Laagri 3
Nomme Utd 0
Narva 6
Tallinna Starmedia 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 10
FC Ararat 0
Tabasalu Ulasabat 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 6
1/8-finals
Tabasalu 1
FC Tallinn 3
Tallinna Kalev 3
Legion 0
Tamper 0
Kalju 9
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Kuressaare 1
Elva 1
Levadia 3
Hiiumaa 2
Tallinna FC Zapoos 3
Harju JK Laagri 0
Narva 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 3
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Quarter-finals
FC Tallinn 0
Tallinna Kalev 5
Kalju 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Levadia 7
Tallinna FC Zapoos 0
Narva 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
Semi-finals
Tallinna Kalev 0
Kalju 5
Levadia 1
Narva 0
Final
Kalju 4
Levadia 3
