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Narva vs Eston Villa II Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
McWoods E.
7' Event
McWoods E.
17' Event
Kasparavicius J.

AI Match Summary

Narva in this Estonian Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 21-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Narva
20%
Draws
60%
Eston Villa II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eston Villa II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Narva lately — more wins on the board than Eston Villa II.
  • 20% — that's where the model lands on Narva taking it.
  • Narva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Narva, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Narva Clean Sheet 18%
Eston Villa II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva Eston Villa II
Matches Played 31 5
Wins 9 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 18 3
Goals Scored 1.94 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.94 4.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2019 Estonian Cup
Narva vs Eston Villa II
21:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narva Compare

Top Goalscorer Golovljov E.
9 Goals
Assists Leader McWoods E.
4 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Eston Villa II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva 85 / 100
Eston Villa II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva Eston Villa II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 21.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Eston Villa II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Narva scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Eston Villa II conceded in 50% of 4 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Narva VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva

(Home)
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
30 Aug
Narva
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 7

Eston Villa II

(Away)
10 Jul
Eston Villa II
:
FC Ararat
29 Jul
Raplamaa
3 : 0
Eston Villa II
22 Oct
Narva
21 : 0
Eston Villa II
09 Oct
Eston Villa II
3 : 0
Otepaa
01 Aug
Loo JK
0 : 1
Eston Villa II

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Elva 3
SK EPMU Tartu 0
TBD -
Viimsi Lovid -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarvastu -
Tabasalu -
TBD -
TransferWise 1
Lelle 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
ReUnited -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Flora U19 10
JK Poseidon II 0
TBD -
Molycorp Silmet -
Tallinna Kalev III 4
Tammeka Tartu IV 0
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Puhkus Mehhikos -
TBD -
JK 32. keskkool -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II -
Tulevik -
Kadrina SK Moe -
Viimsi JK 2 1
Igiliikur 2
Vastseliina Tannem 3
Soccernet 1
Mulgi 0
Tallinna Wolves 1
Legion II 3
Tallinn Piraaja 1
TBD -
Aksi Wolves -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
FCI Tallinn 1
Tammeka Tartu 8
Paide Linnameeskond 9
Olympic Tallinn 1
TBD -
Kristiine -
Teleios -
TBD -
Viking 0
Pohja-Tallinna 18
Maardu Linnameeskond 12
Valga Warrior 0
TBD -
Elbato -
Kohtla-Nomme -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora -
Helm -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Zenit Tallinn 3
Tallinna FC Zapoos 0
TBD -
Levadia -
Paide Linnameeskond II 13
Mauruse Saurused 2
TBD -
Kose -
Keila JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
Maksatransport 1
Kadakas 3
Legion -
TBD -
Maardu Aliens -
Narva -
Eston Villa II -
TBD -
TBD -
Loo JK -
Parnu Sadam 5
Kohila 0
Jogeva 2
Otepaa 4
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool -
TBD -
Metsis 0
Eston Villa 15
Marjamaa Kompanii 6
FC Sssolutions 2
TBD -
Anija -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Rakvere 0
TBD -
Voru Helios -
Tallinna Kalev -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Helios 5
Rumori Calcio II 1
Parnu-Jaagupi 2
Pohja-Sakala 5
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Jogeva Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna 2 -
1/32-finals
Elva 7
Viimsi Lovid 0
JK Jalgpallihaigla 2
Tarvastu 7
Tabasalu 1
Lelle 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 1
Flora Tallinn U21 5
ReUnited 5
JK Poseidon 1
Flora U19 2
Molycorp Silmet 5
Tallinna Kalev III 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Puhkus Mehhikos 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 6
Tulevik 7
Igiliikur 1
Vastseliina Tannem 1
Tallinna Wolves 5
Legion II 9
Aksi Wolves 0
Nomme Utd 1
Tammeka Tartu 3
Paide Linnameeskond 10
Kristiine 0
Teleios 2
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Elbato 0
Kohtla-Nomme 0
Flora 12
Helm 3
Rumori Calcio 2
Zenit Tallinn 0
Levadia 7
Paide Linnameeskond II 5
Kose 0
Keila JK 0
Kalju 2
Kuressaare 12
Kadakas 1
Legion 0
Narva 7
Eston Villa II 1
Loo JK 0
Parnu Sadam 1
Otepaa 2
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 3
Eston Villa 2
Marjamaa Kompanii 1
Anija 2
Tartu JK Welco 10
Jarva-Jaani 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Voru Helios 1
Tallinna Kalev 1
FC Hell Hunt 0
Helios 1
Pohja-Sakala 5
Viimsi JK 2
Raplamaa 0
Jogeva Wolves 0
Pohja-Tallinna 2 6
1/16-finals
Elva 4
Tarvastu 1
Tabasalu 2
Flora Tallinn U21 1
ReUnited 5
Molycorp Silmet 2
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 2
Tulevik 11
Tallinna Wolves 0
Legion II 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 13
Pohja-Tallinna 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Flora 7
Helm 1
Levadia 21
Paide Linnameeskond II 0
Kalju 3
Kuressaare 1
Narva 3
Eston Villa II 3
Otepaa 0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 3
Anija 0
Tartu JK Welco 1
Voru Helios 2
Tallinna Kalev 3
Pohja-Sakala 0
Viimsi JK 0
Pohja-Tallinna 2 2
1/8-finals
Elva 2
Tabasalu 0
ReUnited 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 2
Tulevik 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Flora 3
Levadia 1
Kalju 2
Narva 21
Eston Villa II 0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 0
Voru Helios 1
Tallinna Kalev 7
Pohja-Tallinna 2 0
Quarter-finals
Elva 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 1
Tammeka Tartu 0
Flora 3
Kalju 1
Narva 2
Voru Helios 0
Tallinna Kalev 6
Semi-finals
Elva 2
Flora 4
Narva 4
Tallinna Kalev 1
Final
Flora 2
Narva 1