Sport Picks

Narva vs Eston Villa Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2021/2022 Narva Kreenholmi staadion, Narva

Eston Villa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Estonian Cup 2021/2022. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Narva have averaged 1.59 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Eston Villa's 1.97 scored and 3.37 conceded. Head-to-head, Narva have won 1 to Eston Villa's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2021, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.60 xG vs 1.13) point toward Narva. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Narva

20%

Draws

48%

Eston Villa

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eston Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Eston Villa lately — more wins on the board than Narva.
Model gives Narva a 32% chance of winning this.
Eston Villa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Narva, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

Narva Clean Sheet 20%

Eston Villa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Narva	Eston Villa
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	11	12
Draws	4	0
Losses	19	18
Goals Scored	1.59	1.97
Goals Conceded	1.88	3.37
Expected Goals (xG)	1.60	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2021 Estonian Cup

Narva vs Eston Villa

3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva 85 / 100

Eston Villa 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Narva Eston Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Eston Villa conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Eston Villa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Narva's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Narva VS -

2 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva

(Home)

20 Sept

Narva

1 : 1

Levadia

12 Sept

Kalju

2 : 0

Narva

08 Sept

Narva

2 : 2

Flora

05 Sept

Kuressaare

3 : 1

Narva

30 Aug

Narva

0 : 2

Tammeka Tartu

Page 1 of 7

Eston Villa

(Away)

26 Jul

Tabasalu Ulasabat

13 : 0

Eston Villa

31 Jul

Kalju

11 : 1

Eston Villa

22 Aug

Nomme Utd

11 : 1

Eston Villa

21 Jun

Eston Villa

3 : 0

Marjamaa Kompanii

29 Jun

FCI Tallinn

3 : 1

Eston Villa

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Viimsi Lovid 0

Flora U19 3

Rumori Calcio II 1

FCP Parnu 4

TBD -

Flora -

Zenit Tallinn 4

Tallinna Kalev U21 2

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond III -

Valga Warrior -

FCT Titans -

Kristiine 5

Jogeva Wolves 3

Kose 0

Maksatransport 2

Raplamaa 15

Wolfram 0

TBD -

Levadia -

Kadakas 3

TransferWise 4

TBD -

Tallinna Kalev -

Tabasalu II -

TBD -

Jarva-Jaani 5

Kusti 4

Rumori Calcio -

TBD -

Laanemaa Haapsalu -

Legion -

TBD -

Soccernet -

Elva 3

Helm 0

Tallinna Wolves 1

JK Jalgpallihaigla 5

Viimsi JK 3

Parnu JK Vaprus 1

TBD -

ReUnited -

Loo JK 4

FC Alliance U21 2

TBD -

FC Tallinn -

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond -

FCI Tallinn 8

FC Hell Hunt 0

TBD -

Parnu Sadam -

Flora Tallinn U21 -

TBD -

Karskem Karsklus -

Narva -

HF Beer -

FC Alliance 10

Tartu JK Welco 2 1

Maardu Aliens -

TBD -

Eston Villa -

Helios -

TBD -

Rakvere 3

Puhkus Mehhikos 1

Kohvile 7

Young FC 4

TBD -

Tartu JK Welco -

Saku Sporting -

TBD -

Tammeka Tartu -

JK Poseidon -

TBD -

Kuressaare -

Tartu Kalev -

TBD -

Laanemaa Haapsalu II 11

Aksi Wolves 1

Nomme Utd -

Jogeva -

Marjamaa Kompanii 4

Imavere Forss 5

Tulevik 26

Lelle 0

Olympic Tallinn 2

Hiiumaa 1

Tulevik U21 -

Tallinn Piraaja -

TBD -

Ganvix Turi -

Tallinna FC Zapoos -

TBD -

Johvi Phoenix -

Kalju -

TBD -

Mulgi 3

JK 32. keskkool 1

EstHam United -

TBD -

Eston Villa II -

FC Ararat -

Vastseliina Tannem 4

Teleios 0

TBD -

Pohja-Tallinna -

Parnu -

TBD -

Legion U21 5

Annelinna Ajax 2

Tabasalu -

TBD -

Arukula Vigri -

1/32-finals

Flora U19 12

FCP Parnu 0

TBD -

Flora -

Zenit Tallinn 1

Paide Linnameeskond III 4

Valga Warrior 1

Kristiine 4

Maksatransport 1

Raplamaa 3

TBD -

Levadia -

TransferWise 2

Tallinna Kalev 9

Tabasalu II 6

Jarva-Jaani 0

Rumori Calcio 0

Laanemaa Haapsalu 7

Legion 21

Soccernet 0

Elva 13

JK Jalgpallihaigla 1

Viimsi JK -

ReUnited -

Loo JK 2

FC Tallinn 3

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond -

FCI Tallinn 8

Parnu Sadam 1

Flora Tallinn U21 24

Karskem Karsklus 0

Narva 5

FC Alliance 0

Maardu Aliens 2

Eston Villa 3

Helios 3

Rakvere 1

Kohvile 1

Tartu JK Welco 2

Saku Sporting 0

Tammeka Tartu 9

JK Poseidon 0

Kuressaare 9

Tartu Kalev 10

Laanemaa Haapsalu II 0

Nomme Utd -

Imavere Forss -

Tulevik -

Olympic Tallinn -

Tulevik U21 4

Ganvix Turi 0

Tallinna FC Zapoos 2

Johvi Phoenix 0

Kalju 32

Mulgi 0

EstHam United 0

FC Ararat 6

Vastseliina Tannem -

Pohja-Tallinna -

Parnu 2

Legion U21 0

Tabasalu 11

Arukula Vigri 1

1/16-finals

Flora U19 0

Flora 14

Paide Linnameeskond III 5

Kristiine 0

Raplamaa 0

Levadia 5

Tallinna Kalev 3

Tabasalu II 0

Laanemaa Haapsalu 2

Legion 8

Elva 2

Viimsi JK 0

FC Tallinn 1

Paide Linnameeskond 4

FCI Tallinn 2

Flora Tallinn U21 3

Narva 3

Eston Villa 0

Helios 0

Tartu JK Welco 3

Tammeka Tartu 3

Kuressaare 1

Tartu Kalev 4

Nomme Utd 2

Tulevik 10

Tulevik U21 0

Tallinna FC Zapoos 1

Kalju 9

FC Ararat 2

Vastseliina Tannem 3

Parnu 0

Tabasalu 1

1/8-finals

Flora -

Paide Linnameeskond III -

Levadia 3

Tallinna Kalev 0

Legion -

Elva -

Paide Linnameeskond 14

Flora Tallinn U21 0

Narva 3

Tartu JK Welco 0

Tammeka Tartu 3

Tartu Kalev 0

Tulevik 1

Kalju 3

Vastseliina Tannem -

Tabasalu -

Quarter-finals

Flora 2

Levadia 0

Legion 0

Paide Linnameeskond 2

Narva 2

Tammeka Tartu 0

Kalju 7

Tabasalu 0

Semi-finals

Flora 0

Paide Linnameeskond 1

Narva 0

Kalju 1

Final

Paide Linnameeskond 1

Kalju 0

Narva vs Eston Villa Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia

Narva

Eston Villa

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Narva

Eston Villa

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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