Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Narva vs Flora

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Narva Kalev-Fama staadion, Narva
Narva Logo

Narva

2 - 2
FT
Flora Logo

Flora

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Pihela O.
Own Goal
27' Event
Betancor Y.
Assist: Slein G.
33' Event
Kuraksin D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Narva
20%
Draws
57%
Flora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Flora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flora lately — more wins on the board than Narva.
  • Model gives Flora a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Flora have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Narva Clean Sheet 15%
Flora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva Flora
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 3 3
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.31 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Flora
2:2
May 16, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Flora
0:3
May 5, 2026 Estonian Cup
Flora vs Narva
1:0
Apr 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Narva
6:0
Oct 21, 2025 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Narva
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narva Compare

Top Goalscorer Betancor Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Flora Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuraksin D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva 27 / 100
Flora 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva Flora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Flora has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Narva scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Narva went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Narva VS Flora
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva

(Home)
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
30 Aug
Narva
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
26 Aug
Narva
2 : 0
Kalju
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Flora

(Away)
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
02 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
30 Aug
Flora
1 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 28 22 5 1 80:20 71
2 Flora 28 17 1 10 56:37 52
3 Paide Linnameeskond 28 14 6 8 45:35 48
4 Kalju 28 14 5 9 49:26 47
5 Tammeka Tartu 28 14 2 12 36:44 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 28 10 4 14 37:54 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 28 9 1 18 46:65 28
10 Narva 28 5 3 20 21:64 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)