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Narva vs Kalju

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Narva Kalev-Fama staadion, Narva
Narva Logo

Narva

0 - 2
FT
Kalju Logo

Kalju

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Orlov M.
Assist: Sotsugov D.
30'
Doke J.
36'
Doke J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Narva and Kalju finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kalju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Narva
20%
Draws
60%
Kalju
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kalju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Kalju carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kalju have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Narva Clean Sheet 10%
Kalju Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva Kalju
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.3 2.29
Goals Conceded 2 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Narva
2:0
Aug 26, 2026 Estonian Cup
Narva vs Kalju
2:0
Aug 8, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Kalju
0:2
May 1, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Kalju
0:3
Apr 3, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Narva
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narva Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Kalju Compare

Top Goalscorer Orlov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Siht R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva 34 / 100
Kalju 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva Kalju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kalju Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalju let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Kalju has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Narva scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Narva VS Kalju
1.75 Goals Scored 3.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva

(Home)
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
30 Aug
Narva
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
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Kalju

(Away)
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
30 Aug
Kalju
2 : 3
Levadia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)