Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Narva host Kalju in the Meistriliiga. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Narva have averaged 1 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Kalju's 1.25 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Narva have won 1 to Kalju's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.31, favoring Kalju. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Kalju carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Narva | Kalju |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 20 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Narva found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (33 games).
Kalju let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Narva remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Narva
(Home)Kalju
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levadia | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 49:16 | 46 |
| 2 | Flora | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 39:21 | 36 |
| 3 | Kalju | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 33:16 | 35 |
| 4 | Paide Linnameeskond | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32:28 | 32 |
| 5 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 28:38 | 26 |
| 6 | Tammeka Tartu | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 21:26 | 26 |
| 7 | Nomme Utd | 21 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 40:48 | 25 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 30:34 | 25 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19:33 | 18 |
| 10 | Narva | 21 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 17:48 | 16 |
