Sport Picks
Narva vs Kuressaare
Estonia
Meistriliiga Narva Kalev-Fama staadion, Narva 
AI Match Summary
Narva host Kuressaare in the Meistriliiga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Narva at 1.3 goals for, 2 against; Kuressaare at 1.47 for, 1.6 against. Past meetings favor Kuressaare slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.69 - 2.00) back Kuressaare to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Narva haven't matched Kuressaare's recent run of results.
- 19% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Narva | Kuressaare |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Kuressaare conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Narva scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Solid form: Narva remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Narva
(Home)Kuressaare
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levadia | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 81:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Flora | 29 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 59:39 | 55 |
| 3 | Paide Linnameeskond | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 48:36 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 52:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Tammeka Tartu | 29 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 37:47 | 44 |
| 6 | Harju JK Laagri | 29 | 11 | 2 | 16 | 40:47 | 35 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 39:57 | 34 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 31:49 | 29 |
| 9 | Nomme Utd | 29 | 9 | 1 | 19 | 47:68 | 28 |
| 10 | Narva | 29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 22:65 | 19 |
