Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Narva vs Levadia

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Narva Kalev-Fama staadion, Narva
Narva Logo

Narva

1 - 1
FT
Levadia Logo

Levadia

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Wendell
Assist: Saliste J.
32'
Alexandre
46'
Sub
Alexandre In: Joao Pedro
Out: Alexandre
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Narva
15%
Draws
67%
Levadia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Levadia lately — more wins on the board than Narva.
  • Model gives Levadia a 67% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Narva Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva Levadia
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 25
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 2
Goals Scored 1.31 3
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Levadia
1:1
Aug 21, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Narva
4:0
Jul 4, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Levadia
1:3
Apr 26, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Narva
7:0
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia vs Narva
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narva Compare

Top Goalscorer Gero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendell
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva 10 / 100
Levadia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva Levadia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Levadia has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Narva scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Narva has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Narva VS Levadia
1.75 Goals Scored 3.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva

(Home)
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
30 Aug
Narva
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
26 Aug
Narva
2 : 0
Kalju
Page 1 of 6

Levadia

(Away)
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
30 Aug
Kalju
2 : 3
Levadia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 28 22 5 1 80:20 71
2 Flora 28 17 1 10 56:37 52
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 28 14 5 9 49:26 47
5 Tammeka Tartu 28 14 2 12 36:44 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 28 10 4 14 37:54 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 28 5 3 20 21:64 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)