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Narva vs Navi Vutiselts

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
39' Event
45' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 9-0, with Narva advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Narva
20%
Draws
60%
Navi Vutiselts
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Navi Vutiselts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Narva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Narva a 20% chance of winning this.
  • Narva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Narva, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Narva Clean Sheet 18%
Navi Vutiselts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva Navi Vutiselts
Matches Played 31 15
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 0
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2011 Estonian Cup
Narva vs Navi Vutiselts
9:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva 40 / 100
Navi Vutiselts 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva Navi Vutiselts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Navi Vutiselts let in goals in 73% of their last 15 matches.

Away concern: Navi Vutiselts has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Narva scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Narva VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva

(Home)
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
30 Aug
Narva
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 7

Navi Vutiselts

(Away)
21 Jun
Navi Vutiselts
2 : 4
Rada Kuusalu
02 Jun
Marjamaa
4 : 0
Navi Vutiselts
01 Nov
Navi Vutiselts
0 : 7
Torva JK
06 Sept
Navi Vutiselts
3 : 1
Tallinna Kalev III
05 Aug
Jarva-Jaani
1 : 2
Navi Vutiselts
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Paide Linnameeskond -
TBD -
TBD -
Tabasalu II -
SK Taaksi -
TBD -
TBD -
Kivioli Irbis -
Voru -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallina Mercury -
Tammeka Tartu II 5
Valga Warrior 1
TBD -
Sillamae Kalev -
Saaremaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Saku Sporting -
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
TBD -
Leisi -
Soccernet -
TBD -
Warrior Valga II 2
Akhtamar 4
Quattromed -
TBD -
Reaal 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 9
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Pokkeriprod -
Olympic Tallinn 6
FC KIIU 1
Otepaa II 0
Raasiku Joker 5
Tartu JK Welco 1
Tallinna Kalev III 0
TBD -
Loo JK -
Ambla -
TBD -
Lasnamae 0
Kuressaare 6
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Kose 0
TBD -
Rapla -
Jogeva 2
Saue JK Laagri 1
JK Luunja 0
Elva 1
Navi Vutiselts -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Visadus -
Legion -
TBD -
Tartu SK 10 2
Narva 4
Levadia 8
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus 0
Kalju III 0
Kalju 14
Kristiine -
TBD -
Haiba 0
FCI Tallinn 8
Otepaa 9
SK EPMU Tartu 1
TBD -
Metropool Parnu -
Tapa 2
Igiliikur 1
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 2
Tallinna Kalev 10
Paide Linnameeskond U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sorve -
Ulikool Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Ganvix Turi -
FC Ararat 3
Tulevik 1
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles -
Premium Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Viljandi 7
Kaitseliit 2
Tabivere 1
Rada Kuusalu 2
Vastseliina Tannem -
TBD -
Toompea 1994 1
Johvi Phoenix 12
Keila JK 3
Nomme Utd 1
Twister Tallinn 1
Tabasalu 9
Eston Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
FC Lootos Polva -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev II 1
Jarva-Jaani 4
Kaitseliit II -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju II -
Puuma -
TBD -
TBD -
Kardla -
Lelle 2
Viimsi JK 1
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Flora 17
1/32-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 8
Tabasalu II 0
SK Taaksi 1
Kivioli Irbis 8
Voru 5
Tallina Mercury 0
Tammeka Tartu II 0
Sillamae Kalev 6
Saaremaa -
Saku Sporting -
Tallinn Piraaja 2
Leisi 3
Soccernet 4
Akhtamar 3
Quattromed 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 5
Tammeka Tartu 24
Pokkeriprod 0
Olympic Tallinn 0
Raasiku Joker 3
Tartu JK Welco 5
Loo JK 2
Ambla 0
Kuressaare 7
Maardu Linnameeskond 4
Rapla 0
Jogeva 2
Elva 2
Navi Vutiselts 2
JK Visadus 0
Legion 0
Narva 7
Levadia 2
Kalju 1
Kristiine 0
FCI Tallinn 9
Otepaa 3
Metropool Parnu 0
Tapa 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Paide Linnameeskond U21 1
Sorve 0
Ulikool Tallinn 2
Ganvix Turi 3
FC Ararat 3
Castovanni Eagles 2
Premium Tartu 0
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Viljandi 3
Rada Kuusalu 0
Vastseliina Tannem 1
Johvi Phoenix 9
Keila JK -
Tabasalu -
Eston Villa 0
Rakvere 5
FC Lootos Polva 6
Jarva-Jaani 1
Kaitseliit II 1
Kalju II 10
Puuma 3
Kardla 1
Lelle 0
Flora 13
1/16-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kivioli Irbis 1
Voru 0
Sillamae Kalev 8
Saaremaa 1
Leisi 0
Soccernet 0
Parnu Linnameeskond 13
Tammeka Tartu 4
Raasiku Joker 1
Tartu JK Welco 1
Kuressaare 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Elva 1
Navi Vutiselts 0
Narva 9
Levadia 5
FCI Tallinn 0
Otepaa 0
Tallinna Kalev 7
Paide Linnameeskond U21 3
Ganvix Turi 2
FC Ararat 1
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Viljandi 3
Johvi Phoenix 0
Keila JK 2
Rakvere 5
FC Lootos Polva 5
Kalju II 4
Puuma 1
Flora 4
1/8-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Sillamae Kalev 3
Saaremaa 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
Tammeka Tartu 7
Kuressaare 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Narva 6
Levadia 4
Tallinna Kalev 1
Paide Linnameeskond U21 0
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Viljandi 2
Rakvere 1
FC Lootos Polva 0
Flora 9
Quarter-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Parnu Linnameeskond 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Narva 2
Levadia 2
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Viljandi 0
Flora 3
Semi-finals
Levadia 1
Flora 0
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Narva 1
Final
Levadia 3
Narva 0