Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Narva vs Nomme Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Narva Kalev-Fama staadion, Narva
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Narva host Nomme Utd in the Meistriliiga. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Nomme Utd have shipped 2.21 goals a game lately, while Narva have conceded 1.62 and scored 1.31. Past meetings favor Nomme Utd slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 31, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.50) point toward Nomme Utd. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Narva
20%
Draws
48%
Nomme Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nomme Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Nomme Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Narva are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Narva Clean Sheet 16%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva Nomme Utd
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 0
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.31 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Narva
1:2
Jun 13, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Nomme Utd
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Narva
5:1
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Narva vs Nomme Utd
3:4
Sep 21, 2024 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Narva
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva 48 / 100
Nomme Utd 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva Nomme Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Difficult form: Nomme Utd registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Narva found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Narva VS Nomme Utd
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva

(Home)
18 Oct
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Narva
14 Oct
Narva
0 : 1
Kuressaare
10 Oct
Parnu JK Vaprus
2 : 2
Narva
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
Page 1 of 6

Nomme Utd

(Away)
17 Oct
Nomme Utd
3 : 0
Kalju
13 Oct
Harju JK Laagri
2 : 0
Nomme Utd
10 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 0
Nomme Utd
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 32 25 6 1 87:22 81
2 Flora 32 19 1 12 62:44 58
3 Paide Linnameeskond 32 17 6 9 52:39 57
4 Kalju 32 15 6 11 54:33 51
5 Tammeka Tartu 32 15 2 15 42:51 47
6 Harju JK Laagri 32 14 2 16 45:47 44
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 32 10 6 16 43:63 36
8 Kuressaare 32 10 5 17 34:51 35
9 Nomme Utd 32 10 1 21 50:74 31
10 Narva 32 5 5 22 25:70 20
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)