Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Narva vs Super Nova

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Narva and Super Nova finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Super Nova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Narva
30%
Draws
47%
Super Nova
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Super Nova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Super Nova carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Super Nova's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Narva Clean Sheet 20%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva Super Nova
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.31 1.04
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Narva vs Super Nova
1:3
Feb 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Super Nova vs Narva
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva 24 / 100
Super Nova 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva Super Nova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Super Nova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Super Nova's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Narva found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Narva remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Narva VS Super Nova
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva

(Home)
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
30 Aug
Narva
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
26 Aug
Narva
2 : 0
Kalju
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Super Nova

(Away)
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
22 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
16 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 1
RFS
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