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Narva vs Tammeka Tartu

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Narva Kalev-Fama staadion, Narva
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Uggeri G.
Assist: Veelma P.
46'
Sub
Zuravljov E. In: Ivanyushin A.
Out: Zuravljov E.
59'
Sub
Silov R. In: Sambe M.
Out: Silov R.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Narva and Tammeka Tartu finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tammeka Tartu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Narva
20%
Draws
60%
Tammeka Tartu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tammeka Tartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Tammeka Tartu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tammeka Tartu's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tammeka Tartu have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Narva Clean Sheet 12%
Tammeka Tartu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Narva Tammeka Tartu
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 4 2
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.9
Goals Conceded 2 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Tammeka Tartu
0:2
Jun 21, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Narva
1:0
Apr 7, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Tammeka Tartu
3:0
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Narva vs Tammeka Tartu
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Narva
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Narva Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Tammeka Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Uggeri G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Narva 14 / 100
Tammeka Tartu 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Narva Tammeka Tartu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tammeka Tartu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tammeka Tartu let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Tammeka Tartu's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Narva scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Narva VS Tammeka Tartu
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Narva

(Home)
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
30 Aug
Narva
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
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Tammeka Tartu

(Away)
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)