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Nasaf Qarshi vs Al Wahda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2 Markaziy Stadium, Qarshi
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
01:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nasaf Qarshi host Al Wahda in the AFC Champions League 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Nasaf Qarshi at 1.36 goals for, 1.07 against; Al Wahda at 1.19 for, 1.33 against. Head-to-head, Nasaf Qarshi have won 1 to Al Wahda's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 3, 2025, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.06) point toward Nasaf Qarshi. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Nasaf Qarshi
15%
Draws
40%
Al Wahda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nasaf Qarshi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Wahda haven't matched Nasaf Qarshi's recent run of results.
  • Nasaf Qarshi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League 2 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nasaf Qarshi Clean Sheet 20%
Al Wahda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nasaf Qarshi Al Wahda
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.36 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2025 AFC Champions League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Al Wahda
1:2
Feb 10, 2002 AFC Champions League
Al Wahda vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nasaf Qarshi 85 / 100
Al Wahda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nasaf Qarshi Al Wahda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nasaf Qarshi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nasaf Qarshi's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Al Wahda has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Nasaf Qarshi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nasaf Qarshi VS Al Wahda
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nasaf Qarshi

(Home)
20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4
Nasaf Qarshi
16 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
0 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0
Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2
Neftchi Fargona
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 6

Al Wahda

(Away)
01 Oct
Bani Yas
3 : 1
Al Wahda
20 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 0
Al Wahda
16 Sept
Al Wahda
3 : 2
Al Kuwait
11 Sept
Al Wahda
1 : 0
Al Sharjah
06 Sept
Al Dhafra
0 : 1
Al Wahda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wahda 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Nasaf Qarshi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Al Khalidiyah 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Al Kuwait 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arkadag 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Al Jazira 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Gol Gohar 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Al Muharraq 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
2 Al Taawon 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Al Nahda 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Al Faisaly Amman 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 East Bengal 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
3 Al Hussein 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
4 Al Seeb 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Melbourne Victory 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Viettel 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Seoul 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Utd 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Lion City Sailors 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Pathum United 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Tai Po 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Machida Zelvia 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Shanghai Shenhua 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Tampines 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
4 Svay Rieng 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phnom Penh Crown 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Gangwon 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Kitchee 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Kuching City FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)