Sport Picks
Nasaf Qarshi vs Bunyodkor
Uzbekistan
Super League Markaziy Stadium, Qarshi 
Match Events
14'
14'
Gulomov A.
Assist: Mukhitdinov S.
21'
21'
Gulomov A.
37'
37'
Rahmatov B.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Nasaf Qarshi and Bunyodkor finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nasaf Qarshi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nasaf Qarshi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Bunyodkor have managed 1.06 goals a game lately — Nasaf Qarshi are scoring more at 1.29.
- Nasaf Qarshi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nasaf Qarshi Clean Sheet 20%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nasaf Qarshi | Bunyodkor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2026 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Bunyodkor
3:0
Jul 16, 2026 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:3
Oct 4, 2025 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Nasaf Qarshi
2:2
May 10, 2025 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Bunyodkor
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Nasaf Qarshi
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nasaf Qarshi Compare
Top Goalscorer Gulomov A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rahmatov B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Bunyodkor Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nasaf Qarshi 85 / 100
Bunyodkor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nasaf Qarshi Bunyodkor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nasaf Qarshi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bunyodkor let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Nasaf Qarshi scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Nasaf Qarshi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nasaf Qarshi VS Bunyodkor
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nasaf Qarshi
(Home) 20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4 Nasaf Qarshi
16 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
0 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2 Neftchi Fargona
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 7
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2 Neftchi Fargona
16 Aug
Nasaf Qarshi
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
08 Aug
Nasaf Qarshi
0 : 0 Kokand 1912
28 Jul
Nasaf Qarshi
1 : 0 Qizilqum
Page 1 of 3
Bunyodkor
(Away) 19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1 Buxoro
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1 Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 7
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1 Bunyodkor
14 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
4 : 3 Bunyodkor
02 Aug
Qizilqum
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
21 Jul
Buxoro
1 : 0 Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 50:17 | 51 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18:32 | 21 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
