Sport Picks
Nasaf Qarshi vs Din. Samarkand - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Markaziy Stadium, Qarshi 
AI Match Summary
Nasaf Qarshi host Din. Samarkand in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Nasaf Qarshi have averaged 1.29 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Din. Samarkand's 1.48 scored and 1.36 conceded. Past meetings favor Nasaf Qarshi slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 12, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.06) back Nasaf Qarshi to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Din. Samarkand carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Nasaf Qarshi a 39% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nasaf Qarshi | Din. Samarkand |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nasaf Qarshi found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
Din. Samarkand has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Nasaf Qarshi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Nasaf Qarshi
(Home)Din. Samarkand
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 50:17 | 51 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18:32 | 21 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
