Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nasaf Qarshi vs Kokand 1912

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League 2025 Markaziy Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Ceran D.
(Penalty)
63'
Sub
Colovic S. In: Davronov A.
Out: Colovic S.
63'
Sub
Nurulloev S. In: Nasrullaev S.
Out: Nurulloev S.

AI Match Summary

Nasaf Qarshi host Kokand 1912 in the Super League 2025. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Kokand 1912 have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Nasaf Qarshi have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Nasaf Qarshi slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.06) point toward Kokand 1912. Kokand 1912 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nasaf Qarshi
33%
Draws
27%
Kokand 1912
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nasaf Qarshi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Kokand 1912 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nasaf Qarshi.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Nasaf Qarshi.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Nasaf Qarshi Clean Sheet 68%
Kokand 1912 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nasaf Qarshi Kokand 1912
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:1
Oct 16, 2025 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Kokand 1912
3:0
May 17, 2025 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs Nasaf Qarshi
0:2
Sep 16, 2022 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Kokand 1912
2:1
May 2, 2022 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs Nasaf Qarshi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nasaf Qarshi Compare

Top Goalscorer Norchaev K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nasrullaev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kokand 1912 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nasaf Qarshi 50 / 100
Kokand 1912 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nasaf Qarshi Kokand 1912

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nasaf Qarshi scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Kokand 1912 let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Nasaf Qarshi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kokand 1912 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nasaf Qarshi VS Kokand 1912
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona30197449:2464
2Pakhtakor30186659:2360
3Nasaf Qarshi301611351:2359
4Din. Samarkand301610447:3058
5Bunyodkor301310748:4049
6OKMK301461044:3448
7Navbahor Namangan3010101041:3740
8Sogdiana301071337:3737
9Qizilqum30991228:4436
10Termez Surkhon30981326:3035
11Andijan30981339:5135
12Kokand 191230971424:3934
13Mashal Muborak30861622:4830
14Buxoro30691530:4927
15Xorazm Urganch30761733:3927
16Shortan Guzor30381927:5717