Sport Picks
Nasaf Qarshi vs Sogdiana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Markaziy Stadium, Qarshi 
AI Match Summary
Nasaf Qarshi host Sogdiana in the Super League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Nasaf Qarshi at 1.33 goals for, 0.9 against; Sogdiana at 1.64 for, 1.71 against. Past meetings favor Nasaf Qarshi slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.31) point toward Nasaf Qarshi. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Nasaf Qarshi lately — more wins on the board than Sogdiana.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Nasaf Qarshi taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nasaf Qarshi | Sogdiana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nasaf Qarshi has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Nasaf Qarshi scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Sogdiana has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Nasaf Qarshi
(Home)Sogdiana
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19:28 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
