Sport Picks
Nasaf Qarshi vs Termez Surkhon
Uzbekistan
Super League Markaziy Stadium 
AI Match Summary
Nasaf Qarshi play Termez Surkhon in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nasaf Qarshi averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Termez Surkhon averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Nasaf Qarshi won 3, Termez Surkhon won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 20, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Nasaf Qarshi and 0.81 for Termez Surkhon. This points to a Termez Surkhon double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Nasaf Qarshi picked up more points recently compared to Termez Surkhon.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.81 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nasaf Qarshi | Termez Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nasaf Qarshi Compare
Termez Surkhon Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nasaf Qarshi scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Termez Surkhon let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Nasaf Qarshi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Termez Surkhon lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25:3 | 28 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:12 | 26 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Buxoro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 20 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Andijan | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 8 | OKMK | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 9 | Nasaf Qarshi | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Xorazm Urganch | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 13 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:18 | 12 |
| 13 | Din. Samarkand | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | 11 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 15 | Sogdiana | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 19:25 | 9 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4:21 | 0 |