Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nashville SC vs Orlando City

USA USA

MLS Geodis Park, Nashville, TN
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Espinoza C.
Assist: Najar A.
26'
Miller N.
28' Event
Surridge S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Nashville SC in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nashville SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nashville SC
30%
Draws
34%
Orlando City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nashville SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Nashville SC have won more games recently than Orlando City.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Nashville SC taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 10%
Orlando City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nashville SC Orlando City
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.38 2.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 MLS
Orlando City vs Nashville SC
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 MLS
Nashville SC vs Orlando City
5:0
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Orlando City vs Nashville SC
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 MLS
Orlando City vs Nashville SC
3:2
Aug 24, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs Orlando City
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nashville SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Surridge S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Espinoza C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Orlando City Compare

Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nashville SC 34 / 100
Orlando City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nashville SC Orlando City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Orlando City conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Nashville SC found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Nashville SC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nashville SC VS Orlando City
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Nashville SC

(Home)
25 Jul
Orlando City
1 : 0
Nashville SC
23 Jul
Nashville SC
1 : 0
CF Montreal
18 Jul
Nashville SC
1 : 0
Atlanta United
24 May
Nashville SC
2 : 1
New York City
18 May
Nashville SC
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 6

Orlando City

(Away)
25 Jul
Orlando City
1 : 0
Nashville SC
23 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes
0 : 4
Orlando City
23 May
FC Cincinnati
6 : 2
Orlando City
19 May
Orlando City
4 : 1
Atlanta United
16 May
Orlando City
1 : 1
Atlanta United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps15102337:1632
2San Jose Earthquakes16102434:1932
3Los Angeles FC1793530:1830
4Real Salt Lake1582527:2226
5FC Dallas1675432:2426
6Seattle Sounders1573519:1924
7Houston Dynamo1572620:2423
8St. Louis City1664622:2322
9Minnesota United1664619:2422
10Los Angeles Galaxy1755723:2820
11Colorado Rapids1661926:2419
12Portland Timbers1653829:3118
13San Diego FC1645730:2817
14Austin FC1645722:3217
15Sporting Kansas City16421018:4014
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC16123133:1139
2Inter Miami16104242:3034
3Chicago Fire1582529:1926
4New England Revolution1582522:1826
5Charlotte FC1774628:2525
6FC Cincinnati1665540:4023
7New York City1664627:2222
8New York Red Bulls1764726:3722
9DC United1647522:2619
10Orlando City1652927:4417
11Columbus Crew1644822:2516
12Toronto FC1637622:2916
13CF Montreal1643922:3215
14Atlanta United16331016:2612
15Philadelphia Union16241021:3110
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)