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Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Geodis Park, Nashville, TN
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Tagseth E.
40'
Lukic J.
46'
Sub
Tagseth E. In: Acosta B.
Out: Tagseth E.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Nashville SC
20%
Draws
35%
Philadelphia Union
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nashville SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nashville SC come out ahead of Philadelphia Union on wins alone.
  • Nashville SC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 68%
Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nashville SC Philadelphia Union
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.93 2.18
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2026 MLS
Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union
0:0
May 2, 2026 MLS
Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC
0:0
Sep 17, 2025 US Open Cup
Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union
3:1
Jul 6, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 MLS
Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nashville SC 95 / 100
Philadelphia Union 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nashville SC Philadelphia Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nashville SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Nashville SC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Nashville SC found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Philadelphia Union has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Nashville SC VS Philadelphia Union
2.38 Goals Scored 3.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Nashville SC

(Home)
24 Oct
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Nashville SC
18 Oct
San Jose Earthquakes
1 : 1
Nashville SC
15 Oct
Nashville SC
4 : 0
Sporting Kansas City
11 Oct
Austin FC
1 : 4
Nashville SC
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0
Toronto FC
Page 1 of 6

Philadelphia Union

(Away)
24 Oct
Philadelphia Union
1 : 2
New England Revolution
17 Oct
Philadelphia Union
2 : 2
Charlotte FC
15 Oct
Chicago Fire
1 : 3
Philadelphia Union
10 Oct
Philadelphia Union
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2
Orlando City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 32 17 7 8 67:33 58
2 FC Dallas 32 15 9 8 58:49 54
3 St. Louis City 32 14 9 9 58:47 51
4 Houston Dynamo 32 14 9 9 42:39 51
5 San Jose Earthquakes 32 13 10 9 54:47 49
6 Los Angeles FC 32 12 11 9 50:35 47
7 Colorado Rapids 32 12 7 13 44:43 43
8 Seattle Sounders 32 11 10 11 41:40 43
9 Real Salt Lake 32 12 6 14 50:49 42
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 32 10 11 11 45:54 41
11 Portland Timbers 32 11 7 14 57:60 40
12 Minnesota United 32 9 11 12 50:56 38
13 San Diego FC 32 8 11 13 56:62 35
14 Austin FC 32 8 10 14 41:59 34
15 Sporting Kansas City 32 6 4 22 38:80 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 32 21 8 3 66:23 71
2 New England Revolution 32 18 4 10 54:44 58
3 Inter Miami 32 15 11 6 75:55 56
4 Chicago Fire 32 15 7 10 57:48 52
5 Charlotte FC 32 14 8 10 59:48 50
6 Philadelphia Union 32 13 8 11 62:50 47
7 Orlando City 32 12 7 13 62:74 43
8 FC Cincinnati 32 11 10 11 66:73 43
9 Columbus Crew 32 12 5 15 52:49 41
10 New York Red Bulls 32 11 6 15 43:59 39
11 Toronto FC 32 9 12 11 50:60 39
12 New York City 32 9 11 12 47:44 38
13 DC United 32 7 12 13 39:57 33
14 Atlanta United 32 8 6 18 40:56 30
15 CF Montreal 32 6 7 19 36:66 25
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)