Sport Picks
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Geodis Park, Nashville, TN 
Match Events
16'
16'
Mukhtar H.
Assist: Espinoza C.
43'
43'
Mukhtar H.
Assist: Surridge S.
46'
46'
Sub
Morgan L. In: Coello A.
Out: Morgan L.
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between Nashville SC and Toronto FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nashville SC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nashville SC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Toronto FC haven't matched Nashville SC's recent run of results.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Nashville SC taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Nashville SC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 20%
Toronto FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nashville SC | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.78 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 MLS
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC
2:0
Sep 9, 2026 MLS
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC
2:1
Jul 20, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC
1:0
May 24, 2025 MLS
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC
1:2
Jun 19, 2024 MLS
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nashville SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Mukhtar H.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Toronto FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nashville SC 85 / 100
Toronto FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nashville SC Toronto FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nashville SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toronto FC let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.
Nashville SC scored in 78% of their last 27 games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Nashville SC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nashville SC VS Toronto FC
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nashville SC
(Home) 27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0 Toronto FC
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0 Chicago Fire
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2 Nashville SC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1 Nashville SC
04 Sept
New York City
0 : 0 Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0 Toronto FC
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0 Chicago Fire
30 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 0 FC Cincinnati
23 Aug
Nashville SC
3 : 2 Columbus Crew
16 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 1 Inter Miami
Page 1 of 3
Toronto FC
(Away) 10 Oct
Toronto FC
2 : 1 CF Montreal
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0 Toronto FC
20 Sept
St. Louis City
3 : 1 Toronto FC
12 Sept
Orlando City
3 : 0 Toronto FC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1 Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0 Toronto FC
20 Sept
St. Louis City
3 : 1 Toronto FC
12 Sept
Orlando City
3 : 0 Toronto FC
22 Aug
Inter Miami
1 : 2 Toronto FC
31 Jul
New York City
1 : 1 Toronto FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:29 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 60 |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 46 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
