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NASK Nasice vs Marsonia Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL East game between NASK Nasice and Marsonia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marsonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
NASK Nasice
15%
Draws
64%
Marsonia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marsonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Marsonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 21% — that's where the model lands on NASK Nasice taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Marsonia have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
NASK Nasice Clean Sheet 20%
Marsonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NASK Nasice Marsonia
Matches Played 30 47
Wins 7 24
Draws 7 3
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.13 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2022 3. HNL East
NASK Nasice vs Marsonia
1:2
Oct 30, 2021 3. HNL East
Marsonia vs NASK Nasice
3:1
May 15, 2021 3. HNL East
NASK Nasice vs Marsonia
0:3
Oct 17, 2020 3. HNL East
Marsonia vs NASK Nasice
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NASK Nasice 49 / 100
Marsonia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NASK Nasice Marsonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NASK Nasice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: NASK Nasice scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Marsonia has conceded goals in 74% of their last 47 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

NASK Nasice went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marsonia
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

NASK Nasice

(Home)
28 May
NASK Nasice
4 : 0
Omladinac Gornja Vrba
21 May
Darda
3 : 1
NASK Nasice
14 May
NASK Nasice
0 : 3
Vukovar 1991
07 May
Oriolik
2 : 1
NASK Nasice
04 May
NASK Nasice
1 : 2
Marsonia
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Marsonia

(Away)
27 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
1 : 0
Marsonia
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Marsonia
5 : 0
Trnje
16 May
Karlovac
6 : 0
Marsonia
10 May
Marsonia
3 : 1
Bjelovar
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vukovar 1991 34 25 7 2 80:20 82
2 Zrinski Osjecko 34 24 6 4 69:33 78
3 Belisce 34 23 6 5 95:28 75
4 Marsonia 34 21 7 6 61:25 70
5 Slavonija Pozega 34 18 7 9 60:38 61
6 Croatia Dakovo 34 16 11 7 60:38 59
7 Bedem Ivankovo 34 13 8 13 53:52 47
8 Slavija Pleternica 34 13 6 15 57:68 45
9 Kutjevo 34 12 7 15 59:62 43
10 Granicar Zupanja 34 11 7 16 43:52 40
11 Sloga Nova Gradiska 34 12 3 19 46:71 39
12 Oriolik 34 11 5 18 43:71 38
13 Cepin 34 8 10 16 46:64 34
14 Darda 34 9 5 20 44:71 32
15 Vuteks Sloga 34 9 4 21 52:81 31
16 NASK Nasice 34 7 9 18 38:63 30
17 Omladinac Gornja Vrba 34 8 6 20 35:63 30
18 Slavonac Bukovlje 34 7 4 23 36:77 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)