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Nassjo vs Tolo IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2023
Nassjo Logo

Nassjo

3 - 2
FT
Tolo IF Logo

Tolo IF

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2023 game between Nassjo and Tolo IF finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nassjo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Nassjo
20%
Draws
50%
Tolo IF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tolo IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Tolo IF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Tolo IF taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Nassjo Clean Sheet 10%
Tolo IF Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nassjo Tolo IF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2023 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Nassjo vs Tolo IF
3:2
Jun 3, 2023 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Tolo IF vs Nassjo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nassjo 10 / 100
Tolo IF 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nassjo Tolo IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tolo IF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nassjo found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Tolo IF has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Nassjo has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nassjo VS Tolo IF
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nassjo

(Home)
11 Sept
Nassjo
0 : 8
Hacken
24 Jun
Tidaholm IFK
0 : 3
Nassjo
22 Oct
Tord
6 : 1
Nassjo
15 Oct
Nassjo
0 : 3
BK Astrio
07 Oct
Qviding
5 : 1
Nassjo
Page 1 of 6

Tolo IF

(Away)
22 Oct
Tolo IF
0 : 1
Savedalen
14 Oct
Husqvarna
1 : 1
Tolo IF
08 Oct
Tolo IF
1 : 1
Laholms
30 Sept
Tolo IF
2 : 0
Lindome
23 Sept
Nassjo
3 : 2
Tolo IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Onsala 26 16 2 8 51:29 50
2 Frolunda 26 15 5 6 49:38 50
3 BK Astrio 26 15 4 7 40:24 49
4 Tord 26 13 3 10 49:39 42
5 Varbergs GIF 26 12 5 9 45:42 41
6 Husqvarna 26 11 6 9 47:33 39
7 Laholms 26 11 3 12 36:39 36
8 Qviding 26 10 4 12 56:52 34
9 Lindome 26 10 3 13 44:46 33
10 Landvetter 26 9 5 12 35:47 32
11 Savedalen 26 9 4 13 37:45 31
12 Hittarp 26 8 7 11 43:59 31
13 Tolo IF 26 7 9 10 32:38 30
14 Nassjo 26 3 6 17 25:58 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2023 (Relegation)