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Nathalys vs Vegas

Republic of the Congo Republic of the Congo

Ligue 1 2023/2024
Nathalys Logo

Nathalys

3 - 2
FT
Vegas Logo

Vegas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2023/2024 game between Nathalys and Vegas finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nathalys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Nathalys
30%
Draws
31%
Vegas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nathalys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Nathalys carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nathalys's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Nathalys Clean Sheet 20%
Vegas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nathalys Vegas
Matches Played 28 15
Wins 4 3
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.57 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.30 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 Ligue 1
Nathalys vs Vegas
3:2
Nov 17, 2023 Ligue 1
Vegas vs Nathalys
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nathalys 49 / 100
Vegas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nathalys Vegas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vegas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 15 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Nathalys has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vegas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nathalys VS Vegas
1.4 Goals Scored 0
0.8 Goals Conceded 0
60% Over 1.5 0%
40% Over 2.5 0%
20% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nathalys

(Home)
23 Mar
Nathalys
1 : 2
Leopard
16 Mar
Nathalys
1 : 1
Nico-Nicoye
08 Mar
Inter PN
1 : 0
Nathalys
02 Mar
Nathalys
5 : 0
CD Jeunes
22 Feb
ACJM
0 : 0
Nathalys
Page 1 of 6

Vegas

(Away)
02 Jun
Etoile du Congo
3 : 0
Vegas
25 May
Nathalys
3 : 2
Vegas
17 May
Diables Noirs
1 : 2
Vegas
10 May
Vegas
1 : 2
Inter Club
05 May
Vegas
0 : 0
V.Club Mokanda
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leopard 26 15 7 4 33:14 52
2 Otoho d'Oyo 26 14 7 5 36:16 49
3 Inter Club 26 14 7 5 31:17 49
4 JS Talangai 26 12 5 9 24:25 41
5 Etoile du Congo 26 10 9 7 23:17 39
6 Diables Noirs 26 9 10 7 33:24 37
7 CARA Brazzaville 26 9 9 8 21:18 36
8 Cheminots 26 8 9 9 22:23 33
9 V.Club Mokanda 26 10 3 13 24:26 33
10 Kondzo 26 8 7 11 24:26 31
11 Juk 26 6 10 10 27:37 28
12 AS BNG 26 7 6 13 26:37 27
13 Vegas 26 5 7 14 18:37 22
14 Nathalys 26 3 8 15 10:35 17
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2023/2024 (Relegation)