Sport Picks
National Bank Egypt vs El Gouna
Egypt
Premier League Al Salam Stadium, Cairo 
Match Events
24'
24'
Sub
Mohamed S. E. D. A. In: Gamal A.
Out: Mohamed S. E. D. A.
39'
39'
Mohsen M.
Assist: Ojo T.
45'
45'
El Zenary M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- National Bank Egypt haven't matched El Gouna's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
National Bank Egypt Clean Sheet 68%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | National Bank Egypt | El Gouna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 13 | 12 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Premier League
National Bank Egypt vs El Gouna
1:1
Dec 25, 2025 League Cup
El Gouna vs National Bank Egypt
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
El Gouna vs National Bank Egypt
0:3
Jan 21, 2025 Premier League
El Gouna vs National Bank Egypt
1:2
Jun 17, 2024 Premier League
El Gouna vs National Bank Egypt
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
National Bank Egypt Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
El Gouna Compare
Top Goalscorer Mohsen M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
National Bank Egypt 41 / 100
El Gouna 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
National Bank Egypt El Gouna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
National Bank Egypt's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
El Gouna has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
National Bank Egypt went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
National Bank Egypt VS El Gouna
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
National Bank Egypt
(Home) 29 May
National Bank Egypt
2 : 2 Al Ittihad Alexandria
22 May
Pharco FC
0 : 1 National Bank Egypt
17 May
National Bank Egypt
1 : 1 El Gouna
13 May
National Bank Egypt
2 : 3 Petrojet
07 May
National Bank Egypt
0 : 0 El Ismaily
Page 1 of 6
29 May
National Bank Egypt
2 : 2 Al Ittihad Alexandria
17 May
National Bank Egypt
1 : 1 El Gouna
13 May
National Bank Egypt
2 : 3 Petrojet
07 May
National Bank Egypt
0 : 0 El Ismaily
03 May
National Bank Egypt
2 : 1 Modern Sport
Page 1 of 4
El Gouna
(Away) 28 May
Petrojet
1 : 2 El Gouna
22 May
El Gouna
2 : 1 El Gaish
17 May
National Bank Egypt
1 : 1 El Gouna
12 May
El Gouna
0 : 1 Kahrabaa Ismailia
08 May
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 0 El Gouna
Page 1 of 6
28 May
Petrojet
1 : 2 El Gouna
17 May
National Bank Egypt
1 : 1 El Gouna
08 May
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 0 El Gouna
03 May
ZED FC
2 : 2 El Gouna
24 Apr
Pharco FC
0 : 1 El Gouna
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:9 | 53 |
| 9 | ZED FC | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 49 |
| 10 | National Bank Egypt | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 20:16 | 48 |
| 11 | El Gouna | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 10:9 | 46 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 45 |
| 13 | Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 15:10 | 38 |
| 14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 15:11 | 38 |
| 15 | Modern Sport | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 8:10 | 37 |
| 16 | El Gaish | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7:10 | 37 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad Alexandria | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 14:14 | 36 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 13:16 | 32 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 11:19 | 26 |
| 20 | Pharco FC | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:13 | 25 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4:12 | 20 |
Relegation - Division 2 A (Main)