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National Bank Egypt vs Smouha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

League Cup
Tue, Jan 12, 2027
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the League Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Smouha have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while National Bank Egypt have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor Smouha slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 0.75, favoring National Bank Egypt. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
National Bank Egypt
15%
Draws
34%
Smouha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: National Bank Egypt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and National Bank Egypt come out ahead of Smouha on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans National Bank Egypt's way, sitting at 36%.
  • National Bank Egypt have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Smouha, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
National Bank Egypt Clean Sheet 20%
Smouha Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric National Bank Egypt Smouha
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.14 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Premier League
National Bank Egypt vs Smouha
1:3
Feb 16, 2025 Premier League
Smouha vs National Bank Egypt
1:4
Jul 13, 2024 Premier League
National Bank Egypt vs Smouha
1:2
Feb 13, 2024 Premier League
Smouha vs National Bank Egypt
1:1
Feb 19, 2023 Premier League
National Bank Egypt vs Smouha
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

National Bank Egypt 36 / 100
Smouha 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
National Bank Egypt Smouha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

National Bank Egypt scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Smouha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Smouha lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

National Bank Egypt VS Smouha
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

National Bank Egypt

(Home)
08 Oct
Modern Sport
2 : 0
National Bank Egypt
14 Sept
Ceramica Cleopatra
2 : 0
National Bank Egypt
07 Sept
National Bank Egypt
3 : 1
Ghazl El Mahallah
31 Aug
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 1
National Bank Egypt
26 Aug
National Bank Egypt
0 : 3
Zamalek
Page 1 of 6

Smouha

(Away)
14 Sept
El Gaish
0 : 1
Smouha
08 Sept
Smouha
0 : 2
Ceramica Cleopatra
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0
Smouha
26 Aug
Smouha
0 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
22 Aug
Al Masry
1 : 0
Smouha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ZED FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Wadi Degla 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 El Gaish 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Ittihad Alexandria 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Zamalek 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Modern Sport 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Pyramids 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Smouha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Qanah 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
5 National Bank Egypt 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Enppi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 El Gouna 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
5 Asyut Petroleum 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Masry 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Ghazl El Mahallah 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Abu Qir Semad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Petrojet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Ceramica Cleopatra 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)