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National Ialoveni vs FC Congaz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Moldovan Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Orbu G.
24' Event
Orbu G.
(Penalty)
83' Event
Rusu A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
National Ialoveni
15%
Draws
28%
FC Congaz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: National Ialoveni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to National Ialoveni lately — more wins on the board than FC Congaz.
  • Win probability leans National Ialoveni's way, sitting at 90%.
  • National Ialoveni have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Congaz, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
National Ialoveni Clean Sheet 16%
FC Congaz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric National Ialoveni FC Congaz
Matches Played 9 6
Wins 2 1
Draws 1 0
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.11 1
Goals Conceded 2 4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Moldovan Cup
National Ialoveni vs FC Congaz
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

National Ialoveni Compare

Top Goalscorer Rusu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

FC Congaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Orbu G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

National Ialoveni 84 / 100
FC Congaz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
National Ialoveni FC Congaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick National Ialoveni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Congaz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 5 matches.

National Ialoveni found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (9 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

FC Congaz's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

National Ialoveni VS FC Congaz
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 83%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

National Ialoveni

(Home)
10 Oct
Falesti
3 : 1
National Ialoveni
11 Sept
Oguzsport
2 : 1
National Ialoveni
05 Sept
National Ialoveni
1 : 0
Stauceni
02 Sept
National Ialoveni
1 : 2
FC Congaz
28 Aug
Victoria
0 : 2
National Ialoveni
Page 1 of 2

FC Congaz

(Away)
02 Sept
National Ialoveni
1 : 2
FC Congaz
30 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
4 : 1
FC Congaz
24 Sept
FC Congaz
:
Speranis
29 Aug
FC Congaz
1 : 9
Saksan
24 Aug
FC Congaz
0 : 6
Olimp Comrat
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CSF Balti -
TBD -
Iskra Ribnita 4
Tarigrad 1
Politehnica UTM -
TBD -
Stauceni 1
FC Chisinau 2
Milsami -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni 9
Olimp Comrat 0
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
National Ialoveni 1
FC Congaz 2
Petrocub Hincesti -
TBD -
Floresti 0
Edinet 3
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
Oguzsport 2
Vulturii Cutezatori 1
Dacia Buiucani -
TBD -
Sparta Selemet 0
Univer Comrat 3
Real Sireti -
TBD -
Victoria 5
Falesti 3
1/8-finals
CSF Balti -
Iskra Ribnita -
Politehnica UTM -
FC Chisinau -
Milsami -
FCM Ungheni -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
FC Congaz -
Petrocub Hincesti -
Edinet -
Zimbru Chisinau -
Oguzsport -
Dacia Buiucani -
Univer Comrat -
Real Sireti -
Victoria -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -