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National Ialoveni vs Stauceni - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1
National Ialoveni Logo

National Ialoveni

1 - 0
FT
Stauceni Logo

Stauceni

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between National Ialoveni and Stauceni finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward National Ialoveni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
National Ialoveni
15%
Draws
51%
Stauceni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stauceni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Stauceni carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
National Ialoveni Clean Sheet 20%
Stauceni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric National Ialoveni Stauceni
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 2 13
Draws 1 6
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.13 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga 1
National Ialoveni vs Stauceni
1:0
Aug 1, 2026 Liga 1
Stauceni vs National Ialoveni
1:1
Sep 30, 2025 Moldovan Cup
Stauceni vs National Ialoveni
7:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

National Ialoveni 32 / 100
Stauceni 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
National Ialoveni Stauceni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

National Ialoveni scored in 75% of their last 8 games.

Defensive concern: Stauceni conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

National Ialoveni went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

National Ialoveni VS Stauceni
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

National Ialoveni

(Home)
11 Sept
Oguzsport
2 : 1
National Ialoveni
05 Sept
National Ialoveni
1 : 0
Stauceni
02 Sept
National Ialoveni
1 : 2
FC Congaz
28 Aug
Victoria
0 : 2
National Ialoveni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1
Falesti
Page 1 of 2

Stauceni

(Away)
18 Sept
Stauceni
4 : 1
Victoria
05 Sept
National Ialoveni
1 : 0
Stauceni
02 Sept
Stauceni
1 : 2
FC Chisinau
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
Stauceni
1 : 0
Oguzsport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vulturii Cutezatori 8 6 1 1 27:14 19
2 Iskra Ribnita 8 6 0 2 22:8 18
3 FCM Ungheni 8 4 2 2 23:16 14
4 Univer Comrat 8 2 3 3 17:17 9
5 Zimbru Chisinau 2 8 2 1 5 14:20 7
6 Sparta Selemet 8 0 1 7 10:38 1
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oguzsport 7 4 2 1 8:3 14
2 Stauceni 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
3 National Ialoveni 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Falesti 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
5 Victoria 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)