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National Ialoveni vs Victoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

National Ialoveni host Victoria in the Liga 1. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: National Ialoveni at 1.13 goals for, 1.88 against; Victoria at 1.34 for, 2.76 against. Head-to-head, National Ialoveni have won 1 to Victoria's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 28, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.25, favoring National Ialoveni. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
National Ialoveni
15%
Draws
46%
Victoria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Victoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Victoria come out ahead of National Ialoveni on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on National Ialoveni taking it.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
National Ialoveni Clean Sheet 19%
Victoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric National Ialoveni Victoria
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 2 7
Draws 1 4
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 1.13 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Liga 1
Victoria vs National Ialoveni
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

National Ialoveni 49 / 100
Victoria 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
National Ialoveni Victoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick National Ialoveni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Victoria conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

National Ialoveni found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (8 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

National Ialoveni went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

National Ialoveni VS Victoria
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

National Ialoveni

(Home)
11 Sept
Oguzsport
2 : 1
National Ialoveni
05 Sept
National Ialoveni
1 : 0
Stauceni
02 Sept
National Ialoveni
1 : 2
FC Congaz
28 Aug
Victoria
0 : 2
National Ialoveni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1
Falesti
Page 1 of 2

Victoria

(Away)
18 Sept
Stauceni
4 : 1
Victoria
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
04 Sept
Oguzsport
1 : 1
Victoria
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
28 Aug
Victoria
0 : 2
National Ialoveni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vulturii Cutezatori 9 7 1 1 29:14 22
2 Iskra Ribnita 8 6 0 2 22:8 18
3 FCM Ungheni 9 4 2 3 24:18 14
4 Zimbru Chisinau 2 9 3 1 5 16:21 10
5 Univer Comrat 9 2 3 4 17:19 9
6 Sparta Selemet 8 0 1 7 10:38 1
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oguzsport 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Stauceni 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
3 National Ialoveni 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Falesti 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
5 Victoria 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)