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Nations FC vs Diarra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup Kwame Kyei sports complex, Abrankese
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
84' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Nations FC
35%
Draws
28%
Diarra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nations FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Diarra lately — more wins on the board than Nations FC.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Diarra arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Nations FC Clean Sheet 68%
Diarra Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nations FC Diarra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Nations FC vs Diarra
1:1
Sep 5, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Diarra vs Nations FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nations FC 41 / 100
Diarra 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nations FC Diarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nations FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Nations FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Nations FC scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Diarra conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nations FC VS Diarra
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nations FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Nations FC
2 : 0
Elmina Sharks
04 Oct
Soccer Intellectuals
0 : 0
Nations FC
26 Sept
Nations FC
1 : 1
Pro-Sports Academy
19 Sept
Ebiemo FC
0 : 1
Nations FC
13 Sept
Nations FC
1 : 1
Diarra
Page 1 of 6

Diarra

(Away)
13 Sept
Nations FC
1 : 1
Diarra
05 Sept
Diarra
1 : 0
Nations FC
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2
Djoliba
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mogadishu City 1
Kitara 4
TBD -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC 5
ASAS 1
TBD -
Azam -
Hilal Alsahil 3
Welwalo Adigrat 4
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 7
Madani 2
Tusker 3
Al-Ghazala 1
Singida Black Stars 10
Panthers 5
ASPAC 5
TBD -
USM Alger -
AS Psi 2
Korhogo 4
TBD -
FAR Rabat -
Douane 3
Hafia 2
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 3
UDIB 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD 3
East End Lions 3
Shooting 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Diambars de Saly 2
Vitesse 1
Real Bamako 2
Diarra 2
Nations FC 1
AS ZAM 0
ASKO Kara 6
UNAM 1
Kabuscorp 5
TBD -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows 4
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 0
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City 3
Rukinzo 1
Port Louis 2
Jwaneng Galaxy 1
Panthere 1
Rayon Sport 1
Atomic Ngome 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Virunga 1
Bazar Brothers 0
Green Mamba 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Final
Kitara -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC -
Azam -
Welwalo Adigrat -
Al Ahly Tripoli -
Tusker -
Singida Black Stars -
Panthers -
USM Alger -
Korhogo -
FAR Rabat -
Douane -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD -
CS Sfaxien -
Zarzis -
Real Bamako -
Diarra -
ASKO Kara -
Kabuscorp -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City -
Port Louis -
Rayon Sport -
Associacao Black Bulls -
Virunga -
Primeiro de Agosto -