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Nations FC vs Hearts of Oak Prediction & H2H Stats

Ghana Ghana

Premier League 2025/2026 Kwame Kyei sports complex, Abrankese
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Match Events

10' Event
Wayo M.
47'
Sub
Suhuyini S. In: Boahene E.
Out: Suhuyini S.
50'
Amankwah E.

AI Match Summary

Hearts of Oak in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hearts of Oak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Nations FC
35%
Draws
40%
Hearts of Oak
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hearts of Oak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Nations FC have won more games recently than Hearts of Oak.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.8%
Nations FC Clean Sheet 22%
Hearts of Oak Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nations FC Hearts of Oak
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.9 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premier League
Nations FC vs Hearts of Oak
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 Premier League
Hearts of Oak vs Nations FC
1:0
Apr 3, 2025 Premier League
Hearts of Oak vs Nations FC
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Premier League
Nations FC vs Hearts of Oak
0:0
May 31, 2024 Premier League
Hearts of Oak vs Nations FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nations FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Hearts of Oak Compare

Top Goalscorer Wayo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nations FC 32 / 100
Hearts of Oak 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nations FC Hearts of Oak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts of Oak Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nations FC scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Nations FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Hearts of Oak's defensive record shows goals conceded in 31% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Nations FC VS Hearts of Oak
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nations FC

(Home)
26 Sept
Nations FC
1 : 1
Pro-Sports Academy
19 Sept
Ebiemo FC
0 : 1
Nations FC
13 Sept
Nations FC
1 : 1
Diarra
05 Sept
Diarra
1 : 0
Nations FC
30 Aug
Medeama
2 : 0
Nations FC
Page 1 of 6

Hearts of Oak

(Away)
26 Sept
Karela
1 : 0
Hearts of Oak
20 Sept
Hearts of Oak
0 : 0
Bechem United
13 Sept
Bibiani Gold Stars
1 : 2
Hearts of Oak
06 Sept
Hearts of Oak
4 : 0
Berekum Chelsea
28 Aug
Asante Kotoko
0 : 0
Hearts of Oak
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 34 17 11 6 52:28 62
2 Bibiani Gold Stars 34 19 3 12 46:40 60
3 Hearts of Oak 34 13 15 6 25:15 54
4 Dreams FC 34 15 7 12 49:32 52
5 Samartex 34 13 11 10 26:25 50
6 Aduana Stars 34 13 11 10 29:24 50
7 Berekum Chelsea 34 14 8 12 35:33 50
8 Asante Kotoko 34 13 10 11 41:29 49
9 Karela 34 13 10 11 32:33 49
10 Bechem United 34 13 8 13 38:39 47
11 Vision 34 12 11 11 38:34 47
12 Holy Stars 34 13 7 14 30:39 46
13 Young Apostles 34 12 9 13 37:37 45
14 Heart of Lions 34 12 9 13 36:33 45
15 Swedru All Blacks 34 12 9 13 34:31 45
16 Nations FC 34 12 8 14 30:31 44
17 Hohoe United 34 7 9 18 22:50 30
18 Eleven Wonders 34 3 4 27 26:73 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)