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Nations FC vs Hearts of Oak

Ghana Ghana

Premier League 2025/2026 Kwame Kyei sports complex, Abrankese
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Wayo M.
47'
Sub
Suhuyini S. In: Boahene E.
Out: Suhuyini S.
50'
Amankwah E.

AI Match Summary

Hearts of Oak in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hearts of Oak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nations FC
30%
Draws
34%
Hearts of Oak
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nations FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Nations FC have won more games recently than Hearts of Oak.
  • Model gives Nations FC a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Nations FC Clean Sheet 20%
Hearts of Oak Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nations FC Hearts of Oak
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 5 13
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premier League
Nations FC vs Hearts of Oak
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 Premier League
Hearts of Oak vs Nations FC
1:0
Apr 3, 2025 Premier League
Hearts of Oak vs Nations FC
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Premier League
Nations FC vs Hearts of Oak
0:0
May 31, 2024 Premier League
Hearts of Oak vs Nations FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nations FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Hearts of Oak Compare

Top Goalscorer Wayo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nations FC 36 / 100
Hearts of Oak 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nations FC Hearts of Oak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nations FC scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Nations FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Hearts of Oak's defensive record shows goals conceded in 33% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Nations FC VS Hearts of Oak
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nations FC

(Home)
31 May
Dreams FC
1 : 2
Nations FC
24 May
Karela
0 : 1
Nations FC
17 May
Nations FC
0 : 1
Vision
10 May
Young Apostles
1 : 0
Nations FC
06 May
Heart of Lions
0 : 1
Nations FC
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Hearts of Oak

(Away)
24 May
Hearts of Oak
4 : 2
Medeama
17 May
Samartex
1 : 0
Hearts of Oak
10 May
Hearts of Oak
0 : 0
Aduana Stars
06 May
Hearts of Oak
0 : 0
Karela
03 May
Nations FC
0 : 1
Hearts of Oak
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Medeama341711652:2862
2Bibiani Gold Stars341931246:4060
3Hearts of Oak341315625:1554
4Dreams FC341571249:3252
5Samartex3413111026:2550
6Aduana Stars3413111029:2450
7Berekum Chelsea341481235:3350
8Asante Kotoko3413101141:2949
9Karela3413101132:3349
10Bechem United341381338:3947
11Vision3412111138:3447
12Holy Stars341371430:3946
13Young Apostles341291337:3745
14Heart of Lions341291336:3345
15Swedru All Blacks341291334:3145
16Nations FC341281430:3144
17Hohoe United34791822:5030
18Eleven Wonders34342726:7313
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)