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Natsional Sofia vs Pirin Razlog - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Natsional Sofia host Pirin Razlog in the Third League - South-West. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Pirin Razlog have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Natsional Sofia have conceded 2 and scored 1.33. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.25) point toward Pirin Razlog. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Natsional Sofia
15%
Draws
36%
Pirin Razlog
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Natsional Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Pirin Razlog have won more games recently than Natsional Sofia.
  • Natsional Sofia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Natsional Sofia Clean Sheet 19%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Natsional Sofia Pirin Razlog
Matches Played 15 29
Wins 2 10
Draws 5 1
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.33 1.07
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Natsional Sofia 85 / 100
Pirin Razlog 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Natsional Sofia Pirin Razlog

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Natsional Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Natsional Sofia's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Pirin Razlog has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Pirin Razlog's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Recent resilience: Natsional Sofia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Natsional Sofia VS Pirin Razlog
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Natsional Sofia

(Home)
31 Oct
Chavdar Etropole
4 : 2
Natsional Sofia
28 Oct
Natsional Sofia
2 : 2
CSKA Sofia III
24 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 3
Natsional Sofia
10 Oct
Slivnishki Geroy
2 : 0
Natsional Sofia
07 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 2
Septemvri Sofia 2
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Pirin Razlog

(Away)
31 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
28 Oct
Pirin Razlog
0 : 5
Balkan Botevgrad
22 Oct
Kostinbrod
5 : 1
Pirin Razlog
17 Oct
Pirin Razlog
1 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
10 Oct
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 1
Pirin Razlog
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