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Nauas EC vs Acreano

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Campeonato Acreano 2019
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Acreano 2019 game between Nauas EC and Acreano finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Acreano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nauas EC
20%
Draws
40%
Acreano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Acreano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Acreano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Acreano 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Acreano have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Nauas EC Clean Sheet 13%
Acreano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nauas EC Acreano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 0.63 1.2
Goals Conceded 3.17 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Acreano
Nauas EC vs Acreano
0:2
Mar 10, 2022 Acreano
Nauas EC vs Acreano
1:1
Jul 21, 2021 Acreano
Nauas EC vs Acreano
0:1
Aug 22, 2020 Acreano
Nauas EC vs Acreano
1:2
Feb 15, 2019 Acreano
Nauas EC vs Acreano
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nauas EC 10 / 100
Acreano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nauas EC Acreano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acreano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Acreano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Acreano's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Nauas EC scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Nauas EC VS Acreano
0.25 Goals Scored 0.17
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.17
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Nauas EC

(Home)
15 Sept
Andira
7 : 0
Nauas EC
08 Sept
Nauas EC
1 : 7
Placido de Castro
02 Sept
Nauas EC
0 : 10
Atletico Acreano
25 Aug
Nauas EC
3 : 2
Andira
19 Aug
Placido de Castro
0 : 0
Nauas EC
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Acreano

(Away)
10 Apr
Acreano
0 : 4
Placido de Castro
05 Apr
Senador Guiomard
2 : 0
Acreano
30 Mar
Vasco da Gama AC
4 : 0
Acreano
19 Mar
Acreano
0 : 0
Independencia Futebol Clube
06 Mar
Acreano
1 : 0
Andira
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Acreano 5 4 1 0 12:0 13
2 Independencia Futebol Clube 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
3 Rio Branco AC 5 3 0 2 15:8 9
4 SC Humaita 5 2 1 2 4:7 7
5 Andira 5 1 2 2 6:10 5
Promotion - Campeonato Acreano 2019 (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galvez 5 4 0 1 13:4 12
2 Placido de Castro 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
3 Nauas EC 5 1 1 3 3:9 4
4 Sao Francisco FC (AC) 5 1 0 4 5:17 3
5 Vasco da Gama AC 5 0 2 3 5:12 2
Promotion - Campeonato Acreano 2019 (First stage - Play Offs)