Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nautico FC vs Progresso

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Fernando
81' Event
Anderson Barbosa

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense game between Nautico FC and Progresso finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nautico FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Nautico FC
20%
Draws
38%
Progresso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nautico FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nautico FC come out ahead of Progresso on wins alone.
  • Nautico FC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Roraimense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nautico FC have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Nautico FC Clean Sheet 13%
Progresso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico FC Progresso
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 2
Draws 7 3
Losses 16 25
Goals Scored 0.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.88 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Progresso
2:0
Mar 4, 2025 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Progresso
5:0
May 14, 2024 Roraimense
Progresso vs Nautico FC
0:7
Apr 29, 2023 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Progresso
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nautico FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernando
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anderson Barbosa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Progresso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico FC 40 / 100
Progresso 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico FC Progresso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresso let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Nautico FC found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Progresso lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nautico FC VS Progresso
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 3.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Raimundo RR862028:520
2Monte Roraima853018:818
3Gremio Atletico Sampaio852121:817
4Bare850317:715
5River Esporte Clube843122:815
6Progresso82068:256
7Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)82067:176
8Nautico FC81163:174
9Atl. Roraima80175:341