Sport Picks

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Nautico FC vs Progresso

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Fernando
81' Event
Anderson Barbosa

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense game between Nautico FC and Progresso finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nautico FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Nautico FC
15%
Draws
51%
Progresso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nautico FC come out ahead of Progresso on wins alone.
  • Nautico FC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Roraimense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nautico FC have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Nautico FC Clean Sheet 13%
Progresso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico FC Progresso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 7 3
Losses 16 25
Goals Scored 1.4 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.17 3.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Progresso
2:0
Mar 4, 2025 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Progresso
5:0
May 14, 2024 Roraimense
Progresso vs Nautico FC
0:7
Apr 29, 2023 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Progresso
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nautico FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernando
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anderson Barbosa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Progresso Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico FC 40 / 100
Progresso 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico FC Progresso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresso let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Nautico FC found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Progresso lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nautico FC VS Progresso
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 3.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nautico FC

(Home)
18 Mar
Nautico FC
2 : 0
Progresso
15 Mar
River Esporte Clube
5 : 0
Nautico FC
08 Mar
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
4 : 1
Nautico FC
05 Mar
Nautico FC
0 : 1
Monte Roraima
24 Feb
Atl. Roraima
0 : 0
Nautico FC
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Progresso

(Away)
18 Mar
Nautico FC
2 : 0
Progresso
14 Mar
Bare
4 : 0
Progresso
11 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 4
Progresso
06 Mar
Progresso
0 : 7
River Esporte Clube
28 Feb
Progresso
3 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo RR 8 6 2 0 28:5 20
2 Monte Roraima 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
3 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
4 Bare 8 5 0 3 17:7 15
5 River Esporte Clube 8 4 3 1 22:8 15
6 Progresso 8 2 0 6 8:25 6
7 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
8 Nautico FC 8 1 1 6 3:17 4
9 Atl. Roraima 8 0 1 7 5:34 1
Promotion - Roraimense (Play Offs)