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Nautico FC vs Real Sao Luiz

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
18' Event
Sergio Baiano
45' Event
Tsague B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Roraimense 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Nautico FC
6%
Draws
90%
Real Sao Luiz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Real Sao Luiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Sao Luiz have won more games recently than Nautico FC.
  • Model gives Real Sao Luiz a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Roraimense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nautico FC Clean Sheet 10%
Real Sao Luiz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico FC Real Sao Luiz
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 2 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2024 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Real Sao Luiz
1:0
May 6, 2023 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Real Sao Luiz
4:4
Apr 28, 2022 Roraimense
Real Sao Luiz vs Nautico FC
1:0
Mar 15, 2022 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Real Sao Luiz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nautico FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Eduardo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme Capota
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Real Sao Luiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Sergio Baiano
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tsague B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico FC 10 / 100
Real Sao Luiz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico FC Real Sao Luiz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nautico FC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (36 games).

Real Sao Luiz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Real Sao Luiz lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nautico FC VS Real Sao Luiz
2 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio Atletico Sampaio42116:37
2Atl. Roraima42114:47
3Nautico FC421114:127
4Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)41126:124
5Bare41034:93
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Raimundo RR541013:013
2Real Sao Luiz532014:511
3River Esporte Clube51045:133
4Progresso50148:161