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Nautico Hacoaj vs Estrella de Berisso

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nautico Hacoaj play Estrella de Berisso in the Torneo Promocional Amateur. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nautico Hacoaj averaged 1.45 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. Estrella de Berisso averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Nautico Hacoaj won 0, Estrella de Berisso won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Nautico Hacoaj and 0.32 for Estrella de Berisso. This points to a Nautico Hacoaj double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Nautico Hacoaj
35%
Draws
26%
Estrella de Berisso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nautico Hacoaj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Nautico Hacoaj picked up more points recently compared to Estrella de Berisso.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 0.32 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
Nautico Hacoaj Clean Sheet 33%
Estrella de Berisso Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 51%
Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico Hacoaj Estrella de Berisso
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.45 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Nautico Hacoaj vs Estrella de Berisso
2:2
Jul 28, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Estrella de Berisso vs Nautico Hacoaj
0:0
Mar 3, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Nautico Hacoaj vs Estrella de Berisso
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico Hacoaj 42 / 100
Estrella de Berisso 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico Hacoaj Estrella de Berisso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nautico Hacoaj or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nautico Hacoaj attacking → ← attacking Estrella de Berisso

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nautico Hacoaj scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Estrella de Berisso let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Nautico Hacoaj went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Estrella de Berisso lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 33
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Social Atletico Television55007:115
2Deportivo Metalurgico540110:312
3Nautico Hacoaj53117:310
4Estrella de Berisso52215:48
5Defensores de Glew52129:77
6Atletico Pilar51044:63
7Provincial51043:93
8Juventud de Bernal50052:140
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barrancas75029:615
2Academia Control Orientado63218:511
3Uribelarrea63215:211
4Buenos Aires City62225:48
5Everton La Plata62225:58
6Belgrano Zarate61322:36
7Ezeiza61322:46
8Las Mandarinas62045:96
9Alumni Los Hornos71244:75