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Nautico MS vs Costa Rica

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Sul-Matogrossense 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nautico MS play Costa Rica in the Sul-Matogrossense 2024. Costa Rica are favorites here. Recently, Nautico MS averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Costa Rica averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Nautico MS won 0, Costa Rica won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 17, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Nautico MS and 1.24 for Costa Rica. This points to a Costa Rica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Nautico MS
22%
Draws
60%
Costa Rica
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Costa Rica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Costa Rica has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nautico MS.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Costa Rica.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Sul-Matogrossense 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Nautico MS Clean Sheet 19%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico MS Costa Rica
Matches Played 8 32
Wins 0 11
Draws 0 11
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Nautico MS
2:0
Jan 21, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Nautico MS vs Costa Rica
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nautico MS Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva Verissimo L. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Costa Rica Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sardinha L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico MS 20 / 100
Costa Rica 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico MS Costa Rica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nautico MS scored in 50% of their last 8 games.

Costa Rica let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Nautico MS went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Costa Rica lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Costa Rica
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Operario MS862014:320
2Coxim833212:1012
3Pantanal833210:912
4Costa Rica83238:711
5Nautico MS80086:210
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dourados852110:417
2Aquidauanense843113:815
3Corumbaense823312:139
4Ivinhema821512:167
5Novoperario81347:136