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Nautico MS vs Operario AC

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2023
Wed, Mar 1, 2023
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nautico MS host Operario AC in the Sul-Matogrossense 2023. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Operario AC have shipped 2.42 goals a game lately, while Nautico MS have conceded 2.63 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor Nautico MS slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2023, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.44) point toward Operario AC. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Nautico MS
15%
Draws
85%
Operario AC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Operario AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nautico MS haven't matched Operario AC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Operario AC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Nautico MS Clean Sheet 16%
Operario AC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico MS Operario AC
Matches Played 8 26
Wins 0 1
Draws 0 8
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 0.75 0.85
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Nautico MS vs Operario AC
0:0
Jan 29, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario AC vs Nautico MS
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico MS 28 / 100
Operario AC 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico MS Operario AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario AC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario AC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 26 matches.

Away concern: Operario AC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Nautico MS scored in 50% of their last 8 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Nautico MS VS Operario AC
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nautico MS

(Home)
03 Mar
Nautico MS
1 : 3
Coxim
29 Feb
Nautico MS
3 : 4
Pantanal
17 Feb
Costa Rica
2 : 0
Nautico MS
14 Feb
Operario MS
2 : 0
Nautico MS
04 Feb
Coxim
3 : 1
Nautico MS
Page 1 of 2

Operario AC

(Away)
10 Nov
Operario AC
0 : 1
Naviraiense
03 Nov
Aguia Negra
1 : 0
Operario AC
27 Oct
Comercial MS
4 : 2
Operario AC
19 Oct
Operario AC
0 : 2
7 de Setembro
05 Oct
Naviraiense
1 : 1
Operario AC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 8 6 1 1 15:6 19
2 Operario MS 8 5 0 3 13:8 15
3 Chapadao 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Coxim 8 2 2 4 4:11 8
5 Comercial MS 8 0 2 6 4:12 2
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 6 1 1 11:5 19
2 Ivinhema 8 3 2 3 14:9 11
3 Novoperario 8 3 2 3 11:10 11
4 Aquidauanense 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Operario AC 8 1 2 5 9:15 5
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)