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Nautico MS vs Operario MS Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Fernandinho
64' Event
Henrique de Lima M.

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2024 game between Nautico MS and Operario MS finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Operario MS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Nautico MS
15%
Draws
85%
Operario MS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Operario MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Operario MS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Operario MS's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Nautico MS Clean Sheet 19%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico MS Operario MS
Matches Played 8 56
Wins 0 30
Draws 0 15
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Nautico MS
2:0
Jan 28, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Nautico MS vs Operario MS
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nautico MS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Operario MS Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Henrique de Lima M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico MS 10 / 100
Operario MS 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico MS Operario MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario MS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario MS has conceded goals in 66% of their last 56 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Operario MS has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Nautico MS scored in 50% of their last 8 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Operario MS
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nautico MS

(Home)
03 Mar
Nautico MS
1 : 3
Coxim
29 Feb
Nautico MS
3 : 4
Pantanal
17 Feb
Costa Rica
2 : 0
Nautico MS
14 Feb
Operario MS
2 : 0
Nautico MS
04 Feb
Coxim
3 : 1
Nautico MS
Page 1 of 2

Operario MS

(Away)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
Page 1 of 12

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario MS 8 6 2 0 14:3 20
2 Coxim 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
3 Pantanal 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
4 Costa Rica 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
5 Nautico MS 8 0 0 8 6:21 0
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
2 Aquidauanense 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
3 Corumbaense 8 2 3 3 12:13 9
4 Ivinhema 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
5 Novoperario 8 1 3 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)