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Nautico vs Avai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Eladio de Barros Carvalho (Aflitos), Recife
Nautico Logo

Nautico

1 - 0
FT
Avai Logo

Avai

Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Jefferson Maciel
7'
Sub
Betao In: Leo Indio
Out: Betao
7'
Paulo Sergio
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Nautico and Avai finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nautico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Nautico
20%
Draws
51%
Avai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Avai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Avai carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Avai are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Nautico Clean Sheet 20%
Avai Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico Avai
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 3
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.21 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Serie B
Nautico vs Avai
1:0
Jul 12, 2026 Serie B
Avai vs Nautico
2:0
Nov 21, 2021 Serie B
Nautico vs Avai
1:2
Aug 14, 2021 Serie B
Avai vs Nautico
2:0
Nov 6, 2020 Serie B
Nautico vs Avai
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nautico Compare

Top Goalscorer Borasi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Avai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico 24 / 100
Avai 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico Avai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nautico scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Avai let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Nautico stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nautico VS Avai
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nautico

(Home)
31 Oct
Nautico
1 : 0
Avai
26 Oct
EC Juventude
4 : 0
Nautico
19 Oct
Goias
0 : 0
Nautico
11 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2
Vila Nova FC
08 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2
Novorizontino
Page 1 of 6

Avai

(Away)
31 Oct
Nautico
1 : 0
Avai
24 Oct
Avai
0 : 2
Botafogo SP
18 Oct
Avai
0 : 0
Athletic Club
11 Oct
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Avai
07 Oct
Avai
2 : 1
Londrina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 36 19 10 7 64:31 67
2 EC Juventude 36 18 11 7 47:25 65
3 Vila Nova FC 36 18 9 9 52:38 63
4 Criciuma 36 18 8 10 38:30 62
5 Fortaleza 36 16 14 6 43:31 62
6 CRB 36 16 7 13 54:51 55
7 Goias 36 16 7 13 38:41 55
8 Sport Recife 36 14 13 9 48:39 55
9 Atletico GO 36 14 13 9 42:33 55
10 Sao Bernardo 36 14 10 12 51:40 52
11 Botafogo SP 37 14 9 14 45:39 51
12 Operario-PR 36 14 9 13 46:48 51
13 Cuiaba 36 11 14 11 33:30 47
14 Athletic Club 36 11 14 11 42:41 47
15 Nautico 36 12 10 14 40:46 46
16 Ceara 36 11 10 15 38:46 43
17 Avai 36 10 7 19 33:46 37
18 Londrina 37 8 8 21 45:58 32
19 America MG 36 7 5 24 26:55 26
20 Ponte Preta 36 3 6 27 21:78 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)