Sport Picks
Nautico vs Botafogo SP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Eladio de Barros Carvalho (Aflitos), Recife 
Match Events
56'
56'
Sub
Borasi B. In: Kaua Maranhao
Out: Borasi B.
56'
56'
Sub
Jean Carlos In: Junior Todinho
Out: Jean Carlos
58'
58'
Claudio Tencati
AI Match Summary
Nautico in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nautico.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
20%
61%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botafogo SP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Botafogo SP lately — more wins on the board than Nautico.
- Botafogo SP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Nautico Clean Sheet 14%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nautico | Botafogo SP |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2026 Serie B
Nautico vs Botafogo SP
1:0
May 2, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Nautico
1:1
Dec 13, 2020 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Nautico
1:1
Sep 12, 2020 Serie B
Nautico vs Botafogo SP
3:1
Sep 3, 2002 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Nautico
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nautico Compare
Top Goalscorer Luiz Claudio
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Botafogo SP Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nautico 10 / 100
Botafogo SP 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nautico Botafogo SP
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Botafogo SP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nautico scored in 65% of their last 31 games.
Defensive concern: Botafogo SP conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Nautico has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nautico VS Botafogo SP
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Nautico
(Home) 31 Oct
Nautico
1 : 0 Avai
26 Oct
EC Juventude
4 : 0 Nautico
19 Oct
Goias
0 : 0 Nautico
11 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2 Vila Nova FC
08 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2 Novorizontino
Page 1 of 7
31 Oct
Nautico
1 : 0 Avai
11 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2 Vila Nova FC
08 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2 Novorizontino
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1 Sport Recife
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3 Operario-PR
Page 1 of 4
Botafogo SP
(Away) 05 Nov
Botafogo SP
4 : 0 Londrina
31 Oct
Botafogo SP
1 : 1 Sport Recife
24 Oct
Avai
0 : 2 Botafogo SP
18 Oct
CRB
0 : 1 Botafogo SP
13 Oct
Botafogo SP
1 : 0 Ceara
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Avai
0 : 2 Botafogo SP
18 Oct
CRB
0 : 1 Botafogo SP
07 Oct
Operario-PR
1 : 2 Botafogo SP
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0 Botafogo SP
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 64:31 | 67 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 47:25 | 65 |
| 3 | Vila Nova FC | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52:38 | 63 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 38:30 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 43:31 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 54:51 | 55 |
| 7 | Goias | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 48:39 | 55 |
| 9 | Atletico GO | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 42:33 | 55 |
| 10 | Sao Bernardo | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 51:40 | 52 |
| 11 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 45:39 | 51 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 46:48 | 51 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 33:30 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 40:46 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 33:46 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 37 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 45:58 | 32 |
| 19 | America MG | 36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 26:55 | 26 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21:78 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
