Sport Picks
Nautico vs Botafogo SP
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Eladio de Barros Carvalho (Aflitos), Recife 
Match Events
56'
56'
Sub
Borasi B. In: Kauan Maranhao
Out: Borasi B.
56'
56'
Sub
Jean Carlos In: Junior Todinho
Out: Jean Carlos
58'
58'
Claudio Tencati
AI Match Summary
Nautico in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nautico.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
62%
30%
8%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nautico
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nautico lately — more wins on the board than Botafogo SP.
- Nautico are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Nautico Clean Sheet 68%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nautico | Botafogo SP |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2026 Serie B
Nautico vs Botafogo SP
1:0
May 2, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Nautico
1:1
Dec 13, 2020 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Nautico
1:1
Sep 12, 2020 Serie B
Nautico vs Botafogo SP
3:1
Sep 3, 2002 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Nautico
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nautico Compare
Top Goalscorer Luiz Claudio
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Botafogo SP Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nautico 95 / 100
Botafogo SP 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nautico Botafogo SP
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nautico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Botafogo SP let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Nautico found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Nautico has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nautico VS Botafogo SP
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Nautico
(Home) 15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3 Operario-PR
09 Sept
America MG
2 : 1 Nautico
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0 Botafogo SP
28 Aug
Nautico
2 : 1 Athletic Club
23 Aug
Sao Bernardo
1 : 1 Nautico
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3 Operario-PR
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0 Botafogo SP
28 Aug
Nautico
2 : 1 Athletic Club
19 Aug
Nautico
1 : 0 Ceara
09 Aug
Nautico
1 : 1 Atletico GO
Page 1 of 3
Botafogo SP
(Away) 19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Goias
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Novorizontino
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0 Botafogo SP
29 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 2 Cuiaba
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0 Botafogo SP
25 Aug
Atletico GO
3 : 0 Botafogo SP
14 Aug
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1 Botafogo SP
29 Jul
Fortaleza
1 : 0 Botafogo SP
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 51 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 50 |
| 3 | EC Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 50 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 31:23 | 48 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 47 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 46 |
| 7 | CRB | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 8 | Operario-PR | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 44 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Bernardo | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 41 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 41 |
| 12 | Cuiaba | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 40 |
| 13 | Goias | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28:34 | 39 |
| 14 | Nautico | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 38 |
| 15 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | 32 |
| 17 | Avai | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:36 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 38:39 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 16:62 | 10 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
