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Nautico vs Ceara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Eladio de Barros Carvalho (Aflitos), Recife
Nautico Logo

Nautico

1 - 0
FT
Ceara Logo

Ceara

Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Derek
45'
Kaua Maranhao
45' Event
Leo Indio
Assist: Jean Carlos
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Nautico and Ceara finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nautico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nautico
20%
Draws
40%
Ceara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ceara have managed 1.1 goals a game lately — Nautico are scoring more at 1.21.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Nautico Clean Sheet 15%
Ceara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico Ceara
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Serie B
Nautico vs Ceara
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Serie B
Ceara vs Nautico
1:0
Jan 23, 2025 Copa do Nordeste
Nautico vs Ceara
1:0
Feb 15, 2024 Copa do Nordeste
Nautico vs Ceara
0:0
Apr 6, 2019 Copa do Nordeste
Ceara vs Nautico
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nautico Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Indio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ceara Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico 31 / 100
Ceara 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico Ceara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ceara conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Nautico scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Ceara lost 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Nautico VS Ceara
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nautico

(Home)
31 Oct
Nautico
1 : 0
Avai
26 Oct
EC Juventude
4 : 0
Nautico
19 Oct
Goias
0 : 0
Nautico
11 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2
Vila Nova FC
08 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2
Novorizontino
Page 1 of 6

Ceara

(Away)
02 Nov
Athletic Club
2 : 1
Ceara
27 Oct
Ceara
0 : 2
Goias
17 Oct
Ceara
2 : 2
EC Juventude
13 Oct
Botafogo SP
1 : 0
Ceara
08 Oct
Ceara
1 : 0
Criciuma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 36 19 10 7 64:31 67
2 EC Juventude 36 18 11 7 47:25 65
3 Vila Nova FC 36 18 9 9 52:38 63
4 Criciuma 36 18 8 10 38:30 62
5 Fortaleza 36 16 14 6 43:31 62
6 CRB 36 16 7 13 54:51 55
7 Goias 36 16 7 13 38:41 55
8 Sport Recife 36 14 13 9 48:39 55
9 Atletico GO 36 14 13 9 42:33 55
10 Sao Bernardo 36 14 10 12 51:40 52
11 Botafogo SP 37 14 9 14 45:39 51
12 Operario-PR 36 14 9 13 46:48 51
13 Cuiaba 36 11 14 11 33:30 47
14 Athletic Club 36 11 14 11 42:41 47
15 Nautico 36 12 10 14 40:46 46
16 Ceara 36 11 10 15 38:46 43
17 Avai 36 10 7 19 33:46 37
18 Londrina 37 8 8 21 45:58 32
19 America MG 36 7 5 24 26:55 26
20 Ponte Preta 36 3 6 27 21:78 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)