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Nautico vs Sport Recife

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Eladio de Barros Carvalho (Aflitos), Recife
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nautico host Sport Recife in the Serie B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Nautico have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Sport Recife's 1.3 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Nautico have won 2 to Sport Recife's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.31) point toward Sport Recife. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Nautico
15%
Draws
39%
Sport Recife
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nautico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sport Recife come out ahead of Nautico on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nautico Clean Sheet 18%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nautico Sport Recife
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Nautico
2:0
Mar 8, 2026 Pernambucano
Nautico vs Sport Recife
0:3
Mar 1, 2026 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Nautico
3:3
Jan 18, 2026 Pernambucano
Nautico vs Sport Recife
4:0
Feb 15, 2025 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Nautico
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nautico 36 / 100
Sport Recife 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nautico Sport Recife

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Recife Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Nautico found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Sport Recife let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Nautico went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nautico VS Sport Recife
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nautico

(Home)
22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Nautico
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
09 Sept
America MG
2 : 1
Nautico
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0
Botafogo SP
28 Aug
Nautico
2 : 1
Athletic Club
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Sport Recife

(Away)
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1
EC Juventude
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1
Sport Recife
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
05 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Sport Recife
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1
Sport Recife
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 29 15 6 8 41:31 51
2 Fortaleza 29 14 9 6 33:24 51
3 Novorizontino 29 14 8 7 49:27 50
4 EC Juventude 29 14 8 7 31:19 50
5 Operario-PR 29 13 8 8 41:36 47
6 Criciuma 29 13 8 8 28:27 47
7 Atletico GO 29 12 10 7 36:27 46
8 CRB 29 13 6 10 42:41 45
9 Sport Recife 29 11 11 7 39:29 44
10 Cuiaba 29 10 13 6 30:22 43
11 Goias 29 12 6 11 30:35 42
12 Sao Bernardo 29 11 8 10 40:31 41
13 Athletic Club 29 10 11 8 34:31 41
14 Nautico 29 10 8 11 35:36 38
15 Ceara 29 9 8 12 31:37 35
16 Botafogo SP 29 8 8 13 32:36 32
17 Avai 29 8 6 15 30:38 30
18 Londrina 29 7 7 15 39:41 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 29 3 4 22 17:62 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)