Sport Picks

Iran

Azadegan League

Havadar SC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Navad Urmia play Havadar SC in the Azadegan League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Navad Urmia averaged 0.48 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Havadar SC averaged 1.03 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Navad Urmia won 0, Havadar SC won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jun 2, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.19 for Navad Urmia and 1.63 for Havadar SC. This points to a Havadar SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Navad Urmia

35%

Draws

45%

Havadar SC

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Havadar SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Navad Urmia picked up more points recently compared to Havadar SC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.19 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 60%

Over 2.5 Goals 27%

Over 3.5 Goals 16%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

Navad Urmia Clean Sheet 14%

Havadar SC Clean Sheet 27%

First Half Goal 54%

Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Navad Urmia	Havadar SC
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	3	8
Draws	10	15
Losses	16	6
Goals Scored	0.48	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.48	0.83
Expected Goals (xG)	0.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Azadegan League

Havadar SC vs Navad Urmia

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Oct 25, 2025 Azadegan League

Navad Urmia vs Havadar SC

Possession: 59% - 60% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Mar 17, 2021 Azadegan League

Navad Urmia vs Havadar SC

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Nov 22, 2020 Azadegan League

Havadar SC vs Navad Urmia

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 0 - 4

3:0

Feb 28, 2020 Azadegan League

Navad Urmia vs Havadar SC

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navad Urmia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kianifar A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.1

Avg xA / game 0.07

Havadar SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bayrami M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navad Urmia 21 / 100

Havadar SC 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Navad Urmia Havadar SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Havadar SC or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +66.6%

8.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +28.5%

4.76

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Navad Urmia attacking → ← attacking Havadar SC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navad Urmia scored in 41% of their last 29 games.

Havadar SC let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Navad Urmia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Havadar SC lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 39

0.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mazandaran	33	20	9	4	47:15	69
2	Mes Shahr Babak	33	18	11	4	39:14	65
3	Pars Janoobi Jam	33	15	12	6	42:21	57
4	Sanat Naft	33	15	12	6	35:21	57
5	Saipa	33	15	11	7	29:18	56
6	Havadar SC	33	11	17	5	32:20	50
7	Naft Bandar Abbas	33	10	17	6	26:18	47
8	Fard	33	10	15	8	24:15	45
9	Mes Kerman	33	9	15	9	20:18	42
10	Ario Eslamshahr	33	8	16	9	17:17	40
11	Besat Kermanshah	33	9	11	13	24:30	38
12	Niroye Zamini	33	8	12	13	28:29	36
13	Naft Gachsaran	33	7	14	12	25:39	35
14	Kara Gostar Shabestar	33	8	10	15	16:34	34
15	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	33	7	11	15	20:36	32
16	Shahrdari Noshahr	33	5	15	13	18:28	30
17	Navad Urmia	33	4	12	17	16:45	24
18	Damash Gilan	33	2	12	19	16:56	18