Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Navad Urmia vs Naft Gachsaran

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Alipour O.
90' Event
Zeinali M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Azadegan League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Navad Urmia
30%
Draws
34%
Naft Gachsaran
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Navad Urmia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naft Gachsaran lately — more wins on the board than Navad Urmia.
  • Model gives Navad Urmia a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Navad Urmia Clean Sheet 68%
Naft Gachsaran Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navad Urmia Naft Gachsaran
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 7
Draws 10 11
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2026 Azadegan League
Navad Urmia vs Naft Gachsaran
1:1
Sep 11, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Navad Urmia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navad Urmia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Naft Gachsaran Compare

Top Goalscorer Alipour O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navad Urmia 46 / 100
Naft Gachsaran 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navad Urmia Naft Gachsaran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Naft Gachsaran conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Naft Gachsaran registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Navad Urmia found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Navad Urmia VS Naft Gachsaran
0.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Navad Urmia

(Home)
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Saipa
03 Jul
Navad Urmia
1 : 4
Sanat Naft
27 Jun
Pars Janoobi Jam
2 : 0
Navad Urmia
21 Jun
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 6

Naft Gachsaran

(Away)
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2
Mes Shahr Babak
11 Jul
Havadar SC
2 : 2
Naft Gachsaran
03 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Kara Gostar Shabestar
27 Jun
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 3
Mazandaran
21 Jun
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
4 : 2
Naft Gachsaran
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran34209548:1769
2Mes Shahr Babak341911441:1468
3Sanat Naft341612637:2160
4Pars Janoobi Jam341612644:2260
5Saipa341611730:1859
6Havadar SC341117632:2350
7Naft Bandar Abbas341017726:1947
8Fard341016824:1546
9Mes Kerman341015923:1845
10Ario Eslamshahr34916919:1843
11Besat Kermanshah349111425:3238
12Kara Gostar Shabestar349101517:3437
13Niroye Zamini348121428:3136
14Shenavarsazi Qeshm348111523:3635
15Naft Gachsaran347141325:4135
16Shahrdari Noshahr345151418:2930
17Navad Urmia344121816:4824
18Damash Gilan342131916:5619
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