Sport Picks

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Naval 1893 vs Alverca B

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Mateus Oliveira
52' Event
Chula F. D. C.

AI Match Summary

Naval 1893 in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naval 1893.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Naval 1893
15%
Draws
34%
Alverca B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naval 1893

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Naval 1893 have won more games recently than Alverca B.
  • Naval 1893 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Naval 1893 Clean Sheet 68%
Alverca B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naval 1893 Alverca B
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.68
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Naval 1893 vs Alverca B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naval 1893 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chula F. D. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Alverca B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naval 1893 50 / 100
Alverca B 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naval 1893 Alverca B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naval 1893 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alverca B let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Naval 1893 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Naval 1893 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Alverca B's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Naval 1893 VS Alverca B
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Naval 1893

(Home)
19 Sept
Naval 1893
0 : 2
FC Felgueiras
13 Sept
Naval 1893
1 : 0
Alverca B
06 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0
Naval 1893
30 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 3
Naval 1893
23 Aug
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 4
Naval 1893
Page 1 of 6

Alverca B

(Away)
13 Sept
Naval 1893
1 : 0
Alverca B
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
Alverca B
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0
Industria
12 Apr
Serpa
0 : 1
Alverca B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mortagua FC 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Oliveira Hospital 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
3 Os Marialvas 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
4 Uniao Da Serra 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 O Elvas CAD 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
6 Naval 1893 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
7 Nogueirense 4 1 3 0 8:7 6
8 SB Castelo Branco 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
9 Fatima 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
10 Malveira 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
11 Sertanense 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
12 Fazendense 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
13 Alverca B 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
14 GD Os Nazarenos 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)