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Naval Reinosa vs Barreda Balompie

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Crespo O.
78' Event
Gonzalez D.
83' Event
Herrera E.

AI Match Summary

Naval Reinosa in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naval Reinosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Naval Reinosa
39%
Draws
31%
Barreda Balompie
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naval Reinosa lately — more wins on the board than Barreda Balompie.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Naval Reinosa Clean Sheet 15%
Barreda Balompie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naval Reinosa Barreda Balompie
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Barreda Balompie
2:1
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Naval Reinosa
3:1
Mar 5, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Naval Reinosa
1:1
Nov 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Barreda Balompie
1:0
Jan 19, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Naval Reinosa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naval Reinosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Crespo O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Barreda Balompie Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrera E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naval Reinosa 30 / 100
Barreda Balompie 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naval Reinosa Barreda Balompie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barreda Balompie has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Naval Reinosa found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Barreda Balompie lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naval Reinosa VS Barreda Balompie
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Samano342010452:2270
2CD Tropezon34207758:3067
3Atletico Albericia34197864:3964
4Cayon CD341951061:4162
5Castro341611745:2659
6Vimenor341761163:4257
7Bezana341591046:4154
8Torina341481249:4450
9CD Barquereno3413101160:5949
10Guarnizo341115844:3748
11SD Revilla341261646:5342
12CD Colindres34991636:5336
13Gama34991634:5636
14Atletico Mineros34981733:5835
15Barreda Balompie348101649:6534
16Naval Reinosa34961940:5933
17CD Siete Villas34772029:5328
18CD Monte34552433:6420