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Naval Reinosa vs Bezana

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Fernandez A.
84' Event
Gonzalez Y.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 game between Naval Reinosa and Bezana finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naval Reinosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Naval Reinosa
20%
Draws
73%
Bezana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bezana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Bezana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Bezana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Naval Reinosa Clean Sheet 10%
Bezana Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naval Reinosa Bezana
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 8 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Naval Reinosa
3:2
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Bezana
2:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Naval Reinosa
3:1
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Naval Reinosa
1:2
Dec 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Bezana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naval Reinosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Bezana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naval Reinosa 10 / 100
Bezana 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naval Reinosa Bezana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bezana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Naval Reinosa scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Bezana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 36 matches.

Naval Reinosa has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Naval Reinosa VS Bezana
0.4 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
60% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 75%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Naval Reinosa

(Home)
26 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 4
CD Laredo
19 Sept
Bezana
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
13 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 3
Torina
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0
Naval Reinosa
10 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Naval Reinosa
Page 1 of 7

Bezana

(Away)
19 Sept
Bezana
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1
Atletico Albericia
14 Aug
Bezana
0 : 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)